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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$891,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$899,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under51c301,554$153,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148,262.187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c244,341$119,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,726.872,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over48c225,375$108,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,180.1413248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over49c134,908$66,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,155.6620055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Under53c115,000$60,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,049.9940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c52,307$27,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,283.099,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under52c50,000$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c40,837$20,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,038.691,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over49c34,076$16,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,697.2827747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over49c27,024$13,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,2424355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under52c21,888$11,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,506.459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under52c21,617$11,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,376.3144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under51c16,998$8,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,329.0515952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ba…ef56backed Over48c15,720$7,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.854358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Under52c15,540$8,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,459.1752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c14,348$7,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,947.032,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c12,360$6,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,932.882,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c9,582$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,656.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under52c5,858$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,808.1338750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over48c5,779$2,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,773.9258449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c4,513$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.254,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c4,127$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9201,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over50c3,611$1,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.252,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over49c3,176$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.165750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c2,918$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.463,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over47c2,768$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.118547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a1…f0afbacked Under52c2,736$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.85742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under52c2,615$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.3847856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Over9c2,397$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.839828.6%28 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.3814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under50c2,010$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9829352.6%154 W · 139 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9806454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Over47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9402138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d46…cf8bbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007651.3%39 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under52c1,740$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9621…a7bfbacked Under53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over50c624$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.2520741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under50c551.41$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7139842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c542.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.011,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d35…e83ebacked Over51c509.8$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c505$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.41,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Over48c450$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21618650%93 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under52c380.03$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.2131155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under51c380$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.683,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c340.96$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.352,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15024442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0214652.1%76 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Over51c275.61$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5615849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Under52c258.25$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.112540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe2…42d4backed Over51c236.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481d…48cfbacked Under53c226.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.427954.4%43 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c215.21$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.21,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c203.96$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.893,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9432346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40da…0b85backed Under50c199$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.58232.9%27 W · 55 L-15.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Over51c191.92$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.378652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under52c188.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.432952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under49c161.12$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1724946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Under51c159.16$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.413945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over50c136$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3441048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over49c123.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under52c114.7$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.651,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c113.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.22,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Over49c111.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8212549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Over51c106.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.425952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c103.91$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.992,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under50c103.34$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.674351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Over50c101.96$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.988240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c100.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.061,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4810644.3%47 W · 59 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4765855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd349…63f8backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe652…0677backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Under52c95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.610652.8%56 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8da3…9f2cbacked Under49c94.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.632540%10 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under52c90.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4845460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5de1…35f3backed Over51c82.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.22454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8d…12d1backed Over51c78.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82a…cc74backed Over51c72.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8412155.4%67 W · 54 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4b5…a011backed Under79c63.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.24966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over51c62.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6545651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.