TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Jazz (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Jazz, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Nets50c98,269$49,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,134.5587451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Nets49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.982,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,60040446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz51c29,412$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00044352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz50c29,177$14,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,588.5959347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz50c24,164$12,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0822,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz50c12,887$6,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz51c12,545$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,397.942,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz51c11,537$5,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,883.871,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz50c10,218$5,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.8959653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Nets50c9,000$4,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,53019747.7%94 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz47c6,767$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,180.4713239.4%52 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets49c6,115$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Nets49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets53c4,321$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Jazz51c3,234$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.2619147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Jazz52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz46c2,557$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.952,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets51c2,555$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.8267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Nets48c2,154$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9439842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Jazz51c1,520$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7719733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets51c1,177$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.913,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz50c1,137$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.483,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets53c1,061$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.874,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Jazz46c876.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.615048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nets49c858.9$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.041,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Jazz51c829.16$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.8735747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz51c705.05$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.532,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz50c688$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3443,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Jazz48c685$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Jazz44c608.47$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.273,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Jazz51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nets49c533.58$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.461,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz45c516$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.21,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Jazz51c473.8$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.6412143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Nets51c421$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0419647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets57c397.44$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.298,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe2…42d4backed Nets49c388.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.07742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Nets49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15318543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Nets56c285.66$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6923847.1%112 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz51c247$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.971,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3277…be5fbacked Nets50c228.57$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.885950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Jazz44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Nets55c206.59$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…57c8backed Nets50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005851.7%30 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Nets49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Jazz51c195.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6447349%232 W · 241 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nets56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5781845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Jazz50c169.14$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5753043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Nets58c160$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9419350.3%97 W · 96 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Nets53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0872250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Jazz45c130.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6943244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets69c118.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.332,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Nets53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.2124250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nets49c112.24$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.241,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5092…fccdbacked Jazz39c103.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012843.8%56 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Nets51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Jazz51c99.97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9924442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f18…ce56backed Nets56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2812044.2%53 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da1…26a7backed Jazz52c86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.728960.7%54 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Jazz52c84.35$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8612549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nets49c82.92$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.33,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Jazz50c73.65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9818043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9021…bf4ebacked Nets50c73.1$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.555952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Nets50c71.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.61,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Jazz51c69.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6613945.3%63 W · 76 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nets55c66.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.151,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Nets49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Nets51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8233249.7%165 W · 167 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nets51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.821,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz51c56.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5748451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Nets56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5736247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Nets56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5734047.1%160 W · 180 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets70c53.51$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.33,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ee…13d8backed Jazz58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Nets55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3518…c4aebacked Jazz51c48.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9911241.1%46 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Jazz45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Jazz39c44.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1739736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Nets56c44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.367545.3%34 W · 41 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Nets62c42.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2447045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Nets71c41.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1515549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efe…c8fbbacked Jazz51c40.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1a…d790backed Nets51c39.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.315350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba87…bc76backed Jazz53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207047.1%33 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aab…8d40backed Jazz50c36.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1216443.9%72 W · 92 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Jazz50c36.24$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1215040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Jazz52c35.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6645651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Nets53c32.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Jazz52c30.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1117155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz47c30.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.462,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Nets49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6116935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets47c30.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.924,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b0…2a3fbacked Jazz51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.356634.8%23 W · 43 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Jazz52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62536%9 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.