TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f18…ce56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT12044.2%53 W · 67 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 120 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$783.32
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.63
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.95
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.92
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.65
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.13
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Spread: Hornets (-17.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.55
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.11
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.32
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.48
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.01
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.13
Spread: Trail Blazers (-11.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.05
Spread: Pelicans (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$45.13
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.22
Showing 25 of 120 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-67.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$53.61
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$47.96
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+56%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+59.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.6%+$24.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.83
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.