NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeec946d09b533cfef35473f0b406275273409721eef2b2cb309de9f4a93140e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,553,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,553,101 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hawks | 50c | 528,901$264,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264,509.77 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 50c | 300,000$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,000 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 51c | 160,000$81,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,999.91 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 51c | 132,905$67,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,781.58 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 50c | 130,000$65,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,000 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 48c | 113,425$54,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,440.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Magic | 50c | 85,428$42,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,404.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 51c | 68,323$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Hawks | 49c | 62,048$30,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,644.58 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,600 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 50c | 59,936$30,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,155.97 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Hawks | 51c | 57,846$29,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,346.45 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 52c | 54,000$27,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,940 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Magic | 51c | 49,043$25,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,012.14 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Hawks | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,816.31 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 50c | 36,521$18,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hawks | 48c | 30,774$14,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,002.27 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…0a2bbacked Hawks | 50c | 24,800$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Hawks | 49c | 23,857$11,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,167.22 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Hawks | 49c | 21,180$10,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800.14 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Magic | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks | 49c | 16,810$8,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,565.06 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Hawks | 50c | 16,190$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,143.52 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Magic | 52c | 15,385$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hawks | 50c | 15,074$7,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.2 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Hawks | 49c | 13,977$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,128.27 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Hawks | 49c | 13,062$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,661.43 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 50c | 12,687$6,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.69 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks | 50c | 11,147$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.94 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Hawks | 49c | 10,980$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.58 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…a4d5backed Hawks | 49c | 10,382$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,294.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Magic | 51c | 10,226$5,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,225 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Hawks | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Hawks | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Magic | 51c | 10,060$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.6 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Magic | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Magic | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Magic | 49c | 10,000$4,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,941.66 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044b…8b85backed Hawks | 50c | 8,170$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,085 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Hawks | 50c | 6,848$3,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…ed78backed Hawks | 49c | 6,606$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,369.12 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bc…8536backed Hawks | 49c | 5,939$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Hawks | 50c | 5,913$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,956.73 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Hawks | 50c | 5,656$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcaf…7755backed Hawks | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Hawks | 50c | 5,280$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Hawks | 50c | 5,051$2,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.86 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…2d4cbacked Hawks | 50c | 4,777$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…8a44backed Hawks | 50c | 4,655$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 51c | 4,200$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…4c2ebacked Hawks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…d122backed Hawks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Magic | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks | 48c | 3,960$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.2 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 51c | 3,747$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.87 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Magic | 32c | 3,722$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,198.92 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 49c | 3,678$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.01 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Magic | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 49c | 3,082$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.31 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Magic | 51c | 3,065$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.27 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…5cedbacked Hawks | 50c | 3,047$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Magic | 52c | 3,009$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.13 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Magic | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Hawks | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Magic | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa669…a7c2backed Hawks | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e1…8912backed Magic | 50c | 2,855$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,702$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.4 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Hawks | 49c | 2,587$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.23 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Hawks | 50c | 2,538$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…9220backed Magic | 50c | 2,456$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…a2dbbacked Magic | 50c | 2,388$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…d010backed Magic | 50c | 2,322$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…79c8backed Hawks | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ed…20d5backed Hawks | 50c | 2,123$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Hawks | 50c | 2,112$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…1740backed Magic | 50c | 2,108$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3614…ebd0backed Magic | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Hawks | 49c | 2,084$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.67 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Hawks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Magic | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Magic | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Magic | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Magic | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…9f6bbacked Magic | 50c | 1,820$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…ee05backed Magic | 50c | 1,820$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…9812backed Hawks | 50c | 1,723$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Magic | 52c | 1,711$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.21 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Magic | 50c | 1,688$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.81 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…0550backed Magic | 50c | 1,666$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…e8babacked Magic | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Magic | 50c | 1,612$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.28 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Hawks | 50c | 1,602$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Magic | 52c | 1,591$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…96f7backed Magic | 50c | 1,578$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HawksHawks won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Magic won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.