NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955c99c63e2acc38dde79a2f5ef858526b91cc26a8eb99bd4eeb844abafb8881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,148 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 9,789$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,796.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Under | 50c | 8,933$4,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.11 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa017…38b1backed Over | 52c | 6,769$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd61…7bd5backed Under | 48c | 6,406$3,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…b126backed Under | 48c | 5,744$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf299…bb1cbacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…a772backed Over | 52c | 4,404$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…0f3bbacked Over | 50c | 4,212$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb314…e471backed Over | 50c | 4,023$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…04f3backed Over | 50c | 4,014$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…53f9backed Over | 49c | 3,919$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…ce19backed Under | 51c | 3,919$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda02…35c4backed Over | 52c | 3,727$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…3668backed Over | 50c | 3,616$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…f70dbacked Under | 50c | 3,602$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…8465backed Over | 50c | 3,455$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,391$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afc…1cdcbacked Over | 50c | 3,351$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…91b8backed Over | 50c | 3,259$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…80e1backed Over | 50c | 3,232$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…3a2fbacked Over | 52c | 3,030$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…b42dbacked Over | 53c | 3,011$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…19f0backed Under | 50c | 2,794$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…2341backed Under | 48c | 2,411$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46d…cebabacked Over | 50c | 2,410$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf118…69a9backed Over | 52c | 2,397$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…b1bfbacked Over | 52c | 2,340$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb383…8b63backed Under | 50c | 2,336$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe376…4b84backed Under | 48c | 2,330$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe51b…fe78backed Over | 50c | 2,306$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…db71backed Under | 48c | 2,244$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…bcb5backed Under | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac21…cd48backed Under | 48c | 2,234$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…7808backed Under | 50c | 2,205$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…f011backed Over | 50c | 2,154$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…ac2fbacked Over | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…90f5backed Over | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…3b02backed Under | 48c | 2,121$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ba…3db5backed Over | 52c | 2,118$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…b8d7backed Under | 50c | 2,059$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da2…ff84backed Under | 50c | 2,055$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…5e4bbacked Under | 50c | 2,044$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17a2…3502backed Under | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00c…d5a4backed Under | 48c | 2,026$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fb…289bbacked Under | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ef…0855backed Over | 50c | 2,003$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…20cebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…5f86backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…3ffbbacked Under | 50c | 1,951$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb025…5f09backed Over | 52c | 1,949$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cb…99d6backed Over | 52c | 1,927$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…4924backed Under | 48c | 1,926$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…8b85backed Under | 50c | 1,910$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e35…6b83backed Under | 50c | 1,873$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…b1d4backed Over | 50c | 1,870$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x654c…8589backed Over | 52c | 1,826$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 1,780$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…ca87backed Under | 49c | 1,757$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…ed4fbacked Under | 48c | 1,756$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c0…84d7backed Under | 48c | 1,744$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06cc…c597backed Under | 48c | 1,732$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…e366backed Over | 52c | 1,723$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…3be5backed Under | 50c | 1,717$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…c44fbacked Under | 50c | 1,672$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 42c | 1,671$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.26 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…3bfbbacked Under | 48c | 1,655$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4f…37f6backed Under | 50c | 1,651$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 1,634$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.54 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ff…e6bdbacked Under | 48c | 1,602$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x826a…3997backed Under | 50c | 1,602$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2404…89d4backed Over | 52c | 1,598$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c5…1abfbacked Under | 48c | 1,547$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…82c2backed Over | 50c | 1,534$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…0d9abacked Under | 50c | 1,525$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…c711backed Under | 50c | 1,515$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…3065backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…c3fbbacked Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…ab3bbacked Under | 50c | 1,467$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce45…844abacked Under | 50c | 1,466$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f09…4f73backed Under | 50c | 1,458$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866f…4a06backed Under | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…c55fbacked Under | 49c | 1,393$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,369$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…1073backed Under | 48c | 1,363$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…57cebacked Under | 50c | 1,101$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 46c | 854.74$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.56 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 48c | 726.51$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.72 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 713.73$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 648.92$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.97 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Over | 52c | 608.7$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 52c | 585.68$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.32 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 523$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 51c | 483$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 423.64$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 49c | 405.49$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.8 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 49c | 398.35$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Magic vs. HawksHawks won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Magic won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.