NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f7bdb6dd0ff70e8a96e9ec3059c1e74da91aeab974bbd4bc7d7b51ac13b7f4

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Hawks, Magic
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $112,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,731 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Magic	47c	45,000$21,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,150	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks	53c	40,000$21,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,800	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks	54c	5,556$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,555.56	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic	47c	3,851$1,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,815.9	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…57cebacked Hawks	51c	2,679$1,366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,312.71	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	46c	2,624$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.67	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Magic	46c	2,371$1,091 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,090.54	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d8…5e4bbacked Magic	49c	2,354$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…7808backed Hawks	51c	2,323$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17a2…3502backed Hawks	51c	2,323$1,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,138.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2b…b8d7backed Magic	49c	2,277$1,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,115.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da2…ff84backed Magic	49c	2,255$1,105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,104.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks	54c	2,238$1,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035.16	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…8b85backed Hawks	51c	2,131$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,044.19	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic	46c	2,046$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.26	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874d…3be5backed Hawks	51c	1,966$1,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$963.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe523…c6afbacked Hawks	52c	1,906$984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$922.22	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks	53c	1,889$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.24	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Hawks	54c	1,885$1,018 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.15	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60c1…0d9abacked Hawks	51c	1,753$894 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.97	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa808…c711backed Magic	49c	1,717$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x826a…3997backed Hawks	51c	1,717$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$841.33	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f1…ab3bbacked Magic	49c	1,711$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Hawks	52c	1,700$884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$816	158	49.4%78 W · 80 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce45…844abacked Magic	49c	1,688$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f09…4f73backed Magic	49c	1,688$827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$827.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x866f…4a06backed Magic	49c	1,677$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Magic	47c	1,544$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.81	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Hawks	50c	1,536$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.63	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hawks	51c	1,410$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Hawks	54c	1,100$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.95	265	53.2%141 W · 124 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5f9…cc6dbacked Hawks	51c	901.96$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.96	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Magic	47c	871$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.17	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Magic	48c	776.08$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.21	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Magic	49c	732.36$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.86	112	41.1%46 W · 66 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Hawks	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	131	54.2%71 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Hawks	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hawks	52c	575.07$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.84	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Magic	49c	479.86$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.13	171	44.4%76 W · 95 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Hawks	54c	459$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.14	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-5.0wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks	51c	450.5$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.74	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hawks	51c	435.85$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.57	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hawks	53c	433$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.51	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Hawks	52c	387$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.76	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Hawks	52c	384.29$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.46	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4d…f70dbacked Hawks	51c	383$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Magic	47c	339$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.33	401	46.9%188 W · 213 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Hawks	53c	333.96$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.96	184	56%103 W · 81 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Magic	46c	300$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Magic	48c	226.73$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.1	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Magic	48c	225$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Hawks	54c	222.22$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.22	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Magic	48c	220.31$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.75	762	50.4%384 W · 378 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbbf7…91b8backed Hawks	51c	215$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks	63c	206.11$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.66	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Magic	49c	204.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5145…3668backed Hawks	51c	204$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.96	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe9…8465backed Magic	49c	204$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x850b…5493backed Magic	48c	200$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Hawks	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Magic	49c	197.66$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.01	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Hawks	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Hawks	61c	190.27$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.59	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Hawks	54c	185.19$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.19	470	48.5%228 W · 242 L	-18.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Magic	48c	181.33$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.04	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4955…e949backed Magic	49c	179.99$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.33per pick	57cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x097f…60bcbacked Magic	49c	172$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.28	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	43cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53da…2921backed Magic	49c	171$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x108e…0f3bbacked Magic	49c	155$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1629…8510backed Hawks	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	102	49%50 W · 52 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Magic	36c	150.33$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.12	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Magic	47c	148.61$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.85	399	43.1%172 W · 227 L	-17.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Hawks	53c	147.24$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.9	514	38.7%199 W · 315 L	-29.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks	55c	145.45$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afc…1cdcbacked Hawks	51c	143$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.07	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	51cpaid	+98%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9af…80e1backed Hawks	51c	128$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Hawks	51c	124.88$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.19	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb314…e471backed Magic	49c	123$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.27	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Hawks	52c	116.79$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.06	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17dd…04f3backed Magic	49c	116$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Hawks	54c	109.9$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.9	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cb5…6e63backed Magic	47c	109.28$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Magic	48c	102.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	233	49.4%115 W · 118 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Magic	48c	102.04$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hawks	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Magic	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Magic	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Magic	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Magic	48c	99.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	339	49.9%169 W · 170 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Magic	48c	98.92$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-7.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48aa…2eeebacked Magic	48c	98.81$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	94	41.5%39 W · 55 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e6…24e6backed Magic	48c	97.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.79	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Hawks	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	139	56.1%78 W · 61 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hawks	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Magic	48c	90$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.2	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	-9.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Magic	44c	88.62$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.87	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Magic	48c	88.02$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.2	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Magic	47c	85.71$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.53	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Magic	48c	84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	327	47.4%155 W · 172 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Magic	48c	84$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	329	47.4%156 W · 173 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5No won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5No won
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Magic vs. HawksHawks won
Magic vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Magic won
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Hawks (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event