TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,031 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under49c33,831$16,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,459.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c31,011$15,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,205.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c30,810$15,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,301.671,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,35058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c13,775$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,075.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c12,663$6,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,204.751,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over53c12,261$6,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,771.115750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,879.989159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0b0…21cfbacked Over44c8,468$3,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,742.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63e4…a015backed Over45c8,286$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over52c8,260$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.814245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1375…cf3bbacked Over47c7,712$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,087.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab1b…f784backed Over47c7,324$3,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,881.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6610…7197backed Under53c7,292$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1c3…36b5backed Over44c7,280$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,076.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c7,169$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.452,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c7,162$3,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.931,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf59e…1f1dbacked Over47c7,158$3,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,793.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under49c7,143$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5009741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9fc…2530backed Under53c7,134$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6c…7bb5backed Over47c7,100$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7632100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9c0…270fbacked Under53c7,072$3,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,775.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c7,059$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458.8238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a9…feaabacked Under53c7,003$3,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,711.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23f9…de27backed Under53c6,956$3,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,686.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under49c6,337$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.2143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca9f…a32bbacked Under53c6,036$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…fdf5backed Under56c5,988$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x178a…c099backed Under56c5,942$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under58c5,936$3,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.28361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb456…0523backed Under56c5,926$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc161…657fbacked Over44c5,826$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b4…bb36backed Over44c5,718$2,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,202.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1305…298cbacked Under56c5,586$3,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,128.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x955d…d608backed Over47c5,552$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,942.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c5,535$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.1534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8861…92eebacked Over47c5,400$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51d…5fbcbacked Under56c5,208$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Under57c5,004$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,840.546147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5002,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc691…4a20backed Under50c4,705$2,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1f…0fdcbacked Under56c4,596$2,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,573.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c4,596$2,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,296.264,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8174…32dbbacked Under53c4,556$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf90c…5818backed Under50c4,553$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c4,542$2,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ebb7backed Over50c4,272$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Over45c4,181$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.3340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under49c4,042$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea9…46e4backed Under50c3,602$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a9b…af90backed Over49c3,471$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ba…f18fbacked Over50c3,443$1,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a89…625abacked Under50c3,388$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Under53c3,239$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.8214052.1%73 W · 67 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over50c3,222$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.9826337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbc…4d18backed Under50c3,162$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over51c3,071$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedbb…0880backed Under50c2,840$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under37c2,832$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.982,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f54…d010backed Over50c2,555$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b1…a2dbbacked Under50c2,478$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x126a…1a2bbacked Over50c2,477$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6c…1740backed Over50c2,366$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8664…4a91backed Under50c2,366$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa997…5d47backed Over50c2,238$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3614…ebd0backed Under50c2,233$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0404…03d8backed Under50c2,156$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1e…9733backed Over50c2,136$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x535f…9220backed Over50c2,078$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9809733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88cc…79c8backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.8276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f3…7ff9backed Over50c1,966$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf08f…9f6bbacked Under50c1,926$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ed…20d5backed Over50c1,877$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…96f7backed Over50c1,852$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3683…1679backed Under50c1,825$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under54c1,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c1,776$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8881,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc99…11f7backed Under50c1,753$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e1…8912backed Under50c1,751$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x352c…ee05backed Over50c1,723$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bee…c637backed Over50c1,655$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97fa…d622backed Over50c1,655$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…0550backed Over50c1,622$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024e…9812backed Over50c1,577$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under49c1,563$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.451,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c1,442$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.282,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd885…e8babacked Over50c1,420$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,353$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.173,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,268$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2835…f85dbacked Over49c1,204$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a11…4ed4backed Under51c1,204$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…6736backed Under50c976.2$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.13842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.