TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Magic, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,480,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,595,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,480,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic41c270,538$110,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110,512.587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic0c240,513$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.5159646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Magic41c219,806$90,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,763.0372648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b6…13acbacked Magic43c157,003$67,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,511.124742.6%20 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x183d…1270backed Magic42c119,048$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0004619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic43c117,346$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,00036549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…b277backed Hawks59c110,140$64,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,157.511861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks57c108,697$62,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,689.771,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Magic42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,00048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa491…3177backed Magic44c99,999$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.585959.3%35 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks58c92,058$53,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,328.134,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks59c91,680$53,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,741.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Hawks60c87,700$52,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,0802347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks58c80,000$46,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,60043148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks57c62,878$35,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,979.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Hawks58c50,260$29,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,109.2739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks58c50,186$28,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,307.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks57c48,926$27,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,230.641,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Magic1c46,000$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36126637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Magic1c45,896$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.1156646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hawks58c41,598$24,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,471.342,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…78dfbacked Hawks59c40,000$23,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,399.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks74c39,365$29,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,288.84,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks57c30,000$17,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,749.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Magic1c29,903$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.33179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Hawks61c29,869$18,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,794.2420744%91 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hawks59c27,989$16,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,475.492,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks59c27,967$16,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,511.571,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks58c27,753$16,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,518.872,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Magic0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Magic42c25,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.9437539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Magic42c24,800$10,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,483.976943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…f355backed Hawks58c24,800$14,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,483.933847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f04…73d5backed Magic45c23,200$10,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4405444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Hawks55c23,200$12,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,439.888441.7%35 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks57c22,433$12,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,539.5234851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic40c21,573$8,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,645.0474748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…e96dbacked Magic0c20,112$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+44%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Magic42c18,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5605750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Hawks61c17,905$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,905.2252760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hawks66c17,587$11,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,036.969,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7792…b63bbacked Magic45c17,400$7,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8304940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d1…553ebacked Hawks55c17,400$9,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,829.893438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks70c17,073$12,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,061.538,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hawks80c16,315$13,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.97869.2%54 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Magic1c15,563$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.964517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Hawks60c15,111$9,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,053.0128554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,149.991,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Magic1c13,829$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7750241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Magic46c13,072$5,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,994.183455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Hawks59c12,265$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,065.0841832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Hawks58c12,237$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,097.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1d…55d0backed Magic22c11,559$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Magic42c11,500$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.9932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Magic1c10,494$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.354337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Magic0c10,171$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.344573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Hawks59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1006147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Magic40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010641.5%44 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Hawks58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.9827241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Hawks59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,099.959159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Magic41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.956144.3%27 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Hawks58c10,000$5,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,239.0287750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Magic1c9,485$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9067911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Magic41c9,000$3,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,73047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Magic42c9,000$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,78066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95d…f13bbacked Magic32c8,425$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.313961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Magic29c8,126$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,330.091,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks58c8,090$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.9638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Hawks73c7,945$5,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.7727865.8%183 W · 95 L+25.4wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ce…d0eebacked Magic41c7,750$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2051656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic41c7,700$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,161.9961835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks58c7,382$4,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb14e…14f8backed Hawks59c7,247$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d98…4d2dbacked Hawks58c7,138$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,997.935052%26 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Magic34c7,092$2,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,389.211,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Magic35c7,015$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.0117436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Hawks58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9401,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Hawks57c6,969$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,018.7617144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic2c6,844$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.561,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks56c6,744$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,967.3629347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Hawks57c6,450$3,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.8211241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hawks58c6,231$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e32…d479backed Magic0c5,796$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013115.3%20 W · 111 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic2c5,669$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.327211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Magic43c5,581$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Hawks56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.149330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Magic42c5,357$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Magic0c5,055$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.18820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Magic10c5,000$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.242,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Hawks58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Hawks55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25023348.1%112 W · 121 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks58c5,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed Magic28c4,932$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.3910235.3%36 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75c9…4cecbacked Magic45c4,800$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Magic42c4,762$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00024151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Magic42c4,760$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.994231%13 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Magic5c4,681$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.834136.1%123 W · 218 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Magic14c4,617$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.8328537.9%108 W · 177 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic42c4,600$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93244252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawks77c4,598$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.585,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.