NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc150a65445719e24b72572fc5223777c70b8a1dc55629dbc0f6da6d6673399fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Magic, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,480,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,595,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,480,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,727 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 41c | 270,538$110,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,512.5 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 0c | 240,513$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 41c | 219,806$90,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,763.03 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…13acbacked Magic | 43c | 157,003$67,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,511.12 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Magic | 42c | 119,048$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Magic | 43c | 117,346$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…b277backed Hawks | 59c | 110,140$64,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,157.51 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hawks | 57c | 108,697$62,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,689.77 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Magic | 42c | 100,000$42,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Magic | 44c | 99,999$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.58 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 58c | 92,058$53,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,328.13 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 59c | 91,680$53,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,741.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Hawks | 60c | 87,700$52,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,080 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hawks | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 57c | 62,878$35,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,979.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Hawks | 58c | 50,260$29,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,109.27 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 58c | 50,186$28,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,307.3 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Hawks | 57c | 48,926$27,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,230.64 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Magic | 1c | 46,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Magic | 1c | 45,896$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.11 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Hawks | 58c | 41,598$24,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,471.34 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…78dfbacked Hawks | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 74c | 39,365$29,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,288.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 57c | 30,000$17,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Magic | 1c | 29,903$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Hawks | 61c | 29,869$18,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,794.24 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Hawks | 59c | 27,989$16,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,475.49 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 59c | 27,967$16,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,511.57 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawks | 58c | 27,753$16,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,518.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Magic | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,499.94 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Magic | 42c | 24,800$10,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,483.97 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Hawks | 58c | 24,800$14,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,483.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Magic | 45c | 23,200$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Hawks | 55c | 23,200$12,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,439.88 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hawks | 57c | 22,433$12,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,539.52 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magic | 40c | 21,573$8,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,645.04 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…e96dbacked Magic | 0c | 20,112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Magic | 42c | 18,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Hawks | 61c | 17,905$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,905.22 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hawks | 66c | 17,587$11,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,036.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Magic | 45c | 17,400$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Hawks | 55c | 17,400$9,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,829.89 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 70c | 17,073$12,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,061.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Hawks | 80c | 16,315$13,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.9 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 15,563$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Hawks | 60c | 15,111$9,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.01 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.99 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Magic | 1c | 13,829$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.77 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Magic | 46c | 13,072$5,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.18 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Hawks | 59c | 12,265$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.08 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Hawks | 58c | 12,237$7,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,097.16 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1d…55d0backed Magic | 22c | 11,559$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Magic | 42c | 11,500$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.99 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Magic | 1c | 10,494$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Magic | 0c | 10,171$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Hawks | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Magic | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Hawks | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.98 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Hawks | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.95 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Magic | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.95 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Hawks | 58c | 10,000$5,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.02 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Magic | 1c | 9,485$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Magic | 41c | 9,000$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…f13bbacked Magic | 32c | 8,425$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,655.31 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 29c | 8,126$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.09 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Hawks | 58c | 8,090$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400.96 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Hawks | 73c | 7,945$5,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.77 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Magic | 41c | 7,750$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Magic | 41c | 7,700$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks | 58c | 7,382$4,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14e…14f8backed Hawks | 59c | 7,247$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Hawks | 58c | 7,138$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.93 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Magic | 34c | 7,092$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.21 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Magic | 35c | 7,015$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.01 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Hawks | 58c | 7,000$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Hawks | 57c | 6,969$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.76 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 2c | 6,844$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Hawks | 56c | 6,744$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.36 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Hawks | 57c | 6,450$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.82 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Hawks | 58c | 6,231$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.42 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…d479backed Magic | 0c | 5,796$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 15.3%20 W · 111 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 2c | 5,669$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Magic | 43c | 5,581$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Hawks | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Magic | 42c | 5,357$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 5,055$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 10c | 5,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.24 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Hawks | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Hawks | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Magic | 28c | 4,932$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.39 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c9…4cecbacked Magic | 45c | 4,800$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Magic | 42c | 4,760$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.99 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Magic | 5c | 4,681$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.8 | 341 | 36.1%123 W · 218 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Magic | 14c | 4,617$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.83 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Magic | 42c | 4,600$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 77c | 4,598$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hawksthis page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- CJ McCollum: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-1.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Magic won
- Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-3.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.