TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$691,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $691,010 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3333…15bdbacked Over57c173,684$99,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,684.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under43c153,108$65,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,836.566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c13,302$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.384,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under44c7,038$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.691,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb1…1c5abacked Over54c4,166$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,09140350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…7c06backed Under47c4,010$1,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x595a…324fbacked Over54c3,955$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,819.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c3,394$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b3…cf3dbacked Over54c3,366$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee3…7963backed Under46c3,333$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e1…1b03backed Under47c3,180$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…4ef0backed Under47c2,986$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a7c…5722backed Under46c2,688$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08e8…b694backed Under47c2,676$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over55c2,666$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.419352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fae…2341backed Under47c2,543$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7a…c28abacked Over53c2,515$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x615c…b09dbacked Under48c2,515$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,479$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4941…df80backed Under46c2,461$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b1…cd00backed Under47c2,456$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d7f…8679backed Over53c2,455$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a0…f681backed Over53c2,455$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29ff…ea4bbacked Under45c2,438$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9274…0990backed Under47c2,414$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabeb…558dbacked Under47c2,413$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…eb30backed Over53c2,411$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9915…3b76backed Over55c2,385$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e58…c329backed Under46c2,369$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b04…5bacbacked Under47c2,369$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc633…54ffbacked Under48c2,366$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea80…1098backed Over52c2,356$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12fb…289bbacked Over53c2,355$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd818…ee7dbacked Under46c2,348$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb78…107abacked Over53c2,323$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.812100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb2e…d534backed Under47c2,315$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9601…a924backed Over52c2,306$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab0…498cbacked Over54c2,287$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce77…34afbacked Over53c2,229$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…2146backed Over53c2,226$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e2d…aab9backed Over53c2,221$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a26…3b02backed Under47c2,213$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4909…dc0dbacked Under46c2,200$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bd…f9c0backed Over55c2,190$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe62d…7b7fbacked Over53c2,182$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b5…79b3backed Over53c2,158$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe889…7cb3backed Under46c2,155$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97d…9951backed Over53c2,155$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d6…c655backed Under47c2,153$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa400…9221backed Under45c2,134$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a4…c6c4backed Over53c2,131$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e90…5287backed Over54c2,125$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0884…8351backed Over53c2,121$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6979…faf7backed Over53c2,100$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504b…b339backed Under45c2,087$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b89…2f57backed Under48c2,067$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…65ebbacked Under45c2,051$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca2…1b04backed Under47c2,039$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x803a…8844backed Over53c2,039$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab64…fffcbacked Over53c2,015$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.052100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x479b…6189backed Under48c2,008$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e2…4b4ebacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e96…c7f8backed Over55c1,968$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5337…3bfbbacked Over53c1,966$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…b843backed Under48c1,955$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e63…a855backed Under47c1,942$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc544…a012backed Under47c1,929$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd076…5914backed Under47c1,929$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e42…b2a8backed Over55c1,902$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56b…8804backed Over53c1,901$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b7…9524backed Over53c1,899$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe9…525fbacked Over52c1,899$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae70…e9efbacked Over52c1,888$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7421…6854backed Under46c1,869$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20f…d496backed Over54c1,869$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…d437backed Under46c1,856$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce3…0875backed Over54c1,829$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf23…7b5cbacked Under47c1,828$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523b…87c1backed Under47c1,828$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee2…961cbacked Over54c1,827$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Under50c1,824$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.4911241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0ff…e6bdbacked Over53c1,818$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7335…512abacked Over52c1,818$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ec…c84fbacked Over55c1,807$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…ed3abacked Under45c1,803$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf671…1073backed Over53c1,789$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee2…0af8backed Over52c1,766$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6c8…49b3backed Over54c1,765$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df8…3afebacked Under46c1,756$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eab…5a91backed Under47c1,755$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa8b…d333backed Over53c1,728$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa062…999cbacked Over53c1,727$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c78…d811backed Under46c1,725$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…ca87backed Under47c1,723$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf365…3df9backed Under47c1,723$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdde9…7a75backed Under47c1,717$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa017…38b1backed Over54c1,715$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9188…1836backed Over54c1,711$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.