TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$204,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Under52c66,582$34,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,479.961,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over49c28,673$14,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,623.2129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c13,050$6,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,785.781,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c9,615$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.629,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c9,542$4,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.254,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ece…f95cbacked Over46c9,008$4,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,864.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03aa…4633backed Under54c7,860$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc894…0046backed Over46c7,276$3,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,929.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5553…6158backed Under54c7,108$3,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,838.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4470…42f9backed Over46c6,958$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa85…965fbacked Over46c6,728$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6e…7b2fbacked Under54c6,606$3,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,567.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe80b…65debacked Under54c6,444$3,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,483.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2835…f85dbacked Under54c6,310$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c8…49b3backed Over46c6,022$2,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50f…3e7ebacked Over48c5,446$2,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.832100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa45d…b413backed Over46c4,828$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,582.9711653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Under52c4,664$2,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,425.36756.7%38 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c3,787$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.274,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ed78backed Over48c3,750$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over47c2,728$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.8411335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa62…dda4backed Under54c2,497$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb641…60a4backed Under53c2,434$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc883…5144backed Over47c2,408$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db8…171bbacked Over46c2,362$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x107e…9560backed Over47c2,343$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c57…0ac9backed Under53c2,297$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3302…0880backed Under54c2,277$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef6…734bbacked Under54c2,262$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7392…86e2backed Over46c2,254$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa9a…05e9backed Under54c2,221$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a3…3167backed Over46c2,208$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7467…70eebacked Under54c2,168$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa93e…0d52backed Over46c2,161$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96df…e197backed Under53c2,139$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3917…5f26backed Over46c2,117$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb82…76f0backed Under53c2,068$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Over48c2,027$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.8719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc096…3a8dbacked Over46c2,011$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab20…1a36backed Over46c2,009$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1199…1fd5backed Over46c2,008$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…bf28backed Under54c1,994$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c1,947$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.278,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b3…90b4backed Under54c1,919$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3b9…2f56backed Under53c1,913$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0226…6a29backed Over47c1,905$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc85b…b06bbacked Over47c1,904$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x893c…39a9backed Under54c1,836$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda4…020dbacked Over46c1,835$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f8e…23dabacked Over47c1,832$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf03d…05b5backed Over46c1,809$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf9…518abacked Under54c1,759$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8d…3191backed Under54c1,736$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…12d0backed Under54c1,728$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3480…b3d4backed Under54c1,668$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f01…91d6backed Over46c1,662$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d1…565cbacked Over46c1,629$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9ba…bb57backed Over47c1,517$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a11…4ed4backed Under54c1,464$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Under57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62714152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7f…cccebacked Under53c1,058$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c810.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.6718842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over75c719.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under26c593.71$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.032,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c592.32$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Under52c577.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c525.14$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.23,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under51c452.65$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20412540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under53c338.62$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over45c336.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8158450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c321$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under47c221.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Under51c211.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under51c208.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.162,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7f…85d5backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Under55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1761957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under51c193.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7322154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under78c190.39$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.568361.4%51 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over44c185.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.71,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c181.94$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.411,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under58c169$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.021,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e41…d7b5backed Over47c169$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over33c167.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xfc53…2bb7backed Under23c160.02$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f8…4d2abacked Under52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805461.1%33 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over42c133.5$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.4323651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over48c130.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.121,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Over49c127$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.485042%21 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c106.76$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.523,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c103.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over47c97.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.