TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1c0d…2044

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Raptors vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.53
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.26
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Suns vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Magic vs. Hawks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Mavericks vs. Pelicans: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Warriors vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Raptors vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$108.49
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$127.79
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+171%+$85.5
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$52.25
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.2
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$125.13
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+130.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+282.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$42.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.