TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,108

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,108 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes3c35,014$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de2…8483backed Yes12c6,436$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.382445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+41.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cfa…59c0backed Yes6c4,721$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c4,451$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.663766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes6c3,856$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes7c3,768$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.177115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x115a…e4a6backed Yes3c3,138$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes6c2,890$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752040%8 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes13c2,889$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.0411547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes4c2,409$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.72591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes8c2,194$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.72218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes6c2,096$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.031926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid-25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes14c2,077$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad06…2dfabacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.95922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes2c1,882$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.29944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c1,662$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.812325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c1,320$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.567133.8%24 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes6c1,308$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.721040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d6…4191backed Yes13c1,154$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes3c1,109$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.846051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes4c1,097$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.190%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ea…f29dbacked Yes10c1,028$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-88%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Yes14c1,000$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.911315.4%2 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick15cpaid-60.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes4c999.97$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44170%0 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Yes9c932.84$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes13c889.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.081926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes1c887.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a9…f2d7backed Yes13c881.76$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes9c851.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9121337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes9c677.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.28258%2 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-69.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes10c635$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7007…eedebacked Yes6c553.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes13c545.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.028529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0768…7a21backed Yes14c536$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes4c534.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5460%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes9c530.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.565759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes10c479.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.222213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-49.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c476.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.19195.3%1 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes11c465.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.572653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4210…44e6backed Yes10c439.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes10c434.06$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8784backed Yes13c394.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec53…e515backed Yes13c393.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Yes14c362.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+159.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed Yes12c352.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.382864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes13c352.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-47.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b48…b3fcbacked Yes9c345.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes6c319.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…c50ebacked Yes5c280.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-60.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5db1…f39dbacked Yes6c255$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes11c226.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes7c226.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.739333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f6…9e08backed Yes6c217.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab8…4babbacked Yes11c210$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8266…c472backed Yes10c201.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb368…9734backed Yes13c200.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ed…5f9ebacked Yes12c200.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-75.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f9a…aadfbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x950a…fca5backed Yes7c199.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x426d…d9e4backed Yes9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a8…73c8backed Yes13c196.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…beeabacked Yes5c190.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df3…a4b9backed Yes11c185.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf946…ac3cbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f53…fdb9backed Yes14c169.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06e…eba4backed Yes12c161.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ada…e8fbbacked Yes12c161.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe09b…1fc0backed Yes12c160.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e5d…df35backed Yes12c160.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8091…6bf6backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d12…1a3abacked Yes13c152.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-82.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ba…f12cbacked Yes13c152.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd7…95f6backed Yes13c150$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+88.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945f…8125backed Yes13c149.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Yes14c139.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3309…be44backed Yes12c126.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.814231%13 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db1…78c5backed Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes12c124.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes9c123.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0912353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac51…45eebacked Yes12c120.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1175…314cbacked Yes12c120$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes12c107.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.397739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2efb…a04ebacked Yes12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa23b…af4bbacked Yes12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9a2…6459backed Yes13c94.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c1…fa25backed Yes13c85.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2894…d9d8backed Yes12c80.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x060f…6935backed Yes13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes13c79.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.232619.2%5 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…4947backed Yes14c73.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+117.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.