F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb3b87ef5e1a97d3023f0858724e0f242a870140ca4e7755ce8c887d2724b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,791 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,407$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 11c | 7,122$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.45 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…0b34backed Yes | 7c | 4,957$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…a2d2backed Yes | 9c | 3,200$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…9db5backed Yes | 8c | 3,089$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Yes | 19c | 2,596$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e2…9631backed Yes | 39c | 2,580$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Yes | 18c | 2,478$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 15c | 2,251$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…c108backed Yes | 7c | 2,128$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,854$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.26 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a07…bceabacked Yes | 18c | 1,721$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes | 18c | 1,700$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 72c | 1,497$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.59 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed No | 70c | 1,476$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.24 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 18c | 1,315$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,305$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.26 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,293$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 16c | 1,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 999.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.31 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 5c | 904.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Yes | 27c | 896.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 8c | 803.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 787.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac3…ac42backed Yes | 7c | 750.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…ee79backed Yes | 7c | 726.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +101%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38f…0ff5backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…c10dbacked Yes | 7c | 712$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 16c | 698.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…43e2backed Yes | 20c | 690$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…cd14backed Yes | 29c | 680$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 30c | 672.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 2c | 649.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 5c | 637.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 75c | 636.54$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…59c0backed Yes | 32c | 615.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40c…e6f7backed Yes | 29c | 613.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes | 29c | 591.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 580.17$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec53…e515backed Yes | 7c | 563.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 17c | 563.09$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.73 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 19c | 527.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…4875backed Yes | 25c | 506.16$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 506.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…4d39backed Yes | 20c | 505.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed Yes | 5c | 500.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…2f6bbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9595…1b16backed Yes | 16c | 500$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 5c | 499.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…8e83backed Yes | 18c | 494.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 4c | 467.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…30bebacked Yes | 32c | 461.69$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 18c | 406.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 6c | 384.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…44e6backed Yes | 14c | 382.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 20c | 366.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed No | 71c | 357.12$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 5c | 336$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 28c | 326.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 17c | 322.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f6fabacked Yes | 32c | 310.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…e775backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6172…bb67backed Yes | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 21c | 299.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 291.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ac…913abacked Yes | 20c | 282$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…d695backed Yes | 7c | 277.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…1fc0backed Yes | 18c | 276.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 77c | 267.86$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 14c | 261.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ce…f646backed Yes | 34c | 250$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…4af4backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f6…104fbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b13…2c26backed Yes | 13c | 245.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 23c | 238.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ce…0cc9backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f53…fdb9backed Yes | 11c | 229.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…c431backed Yes | 36c | 225$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 5c | 224.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a5…512bbacked Yes | 17c | 211.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 24c | 208.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 6c | 201.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Yes | 25c | 200.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…b445backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06e…eba4backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…e722backed Yes | 22c | 196.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…9a5cbacked Yes | 20c | 189.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 20c | 187.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes | 15c | 179.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0d…53a5backed Yes | 36c | 174.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 16c | 173.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4646…d1f9backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 9c | 159.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…8d4cbacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.