TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a67…e0db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+92.3%+$55.37
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23.9
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Spread: Magic (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$156.12
Wizards vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$22.19
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.91
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21.27
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
Credit One Charleston Open: Sara Bejlek vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$21.12
Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Linda Noskova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mbokobacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50%+$14.99
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Terence Atmanebacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Qatar Total Open: Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchovabacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Victoria Mbokobacked Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Qatar Total Open: Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Argentina Open: Tomas Barrios vs Luciano Darderibacked Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Qatar Total Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Qatar Total Open: Iga Swiatek vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Qatar Total Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mbokobacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Qatar Total Open: Alycia Parks vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+270.9%+$406.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid-1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs South Africabacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.6
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$62
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+284.6%+$106.79
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$110
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$120
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$180
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
T20 World Cup: England vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
T20 World Cup: Ireland vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+536.4%+$235.37
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Nepal (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+233.3%+$93.33
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$71
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.9
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$30.91
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
International T20 Series: Afghanistan vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
All 24 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$69.55
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$37.56
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+62.5%+$62.51
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc achieve the fastest lap in Practice 3 at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$13.46
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$20.56
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$13.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.