F1 · resolved market
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d823a5345dcba4de3d287073befd03970fad73c487d82434dbff15df26c074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59e8…c5e8backed No | 47c | 41,177$19,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,355.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 74c | 17,042$12,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,370.28 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked No | 0c | 12,473$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 0c | 12,473$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 52c | 11,299$5,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 44c | 10,845$4,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736.69 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 19c | 10,082$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.48 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2014…c8c8backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Yes | 46c | 6,769$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 14c | 6,358$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.2 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb76…4ac0backed Yes | 54c | 5,609$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked No | 13c | 5,555$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 26c | 5,547$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.16 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,037$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee97…9436backed Yes | 23c | 4,872$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 52c | 4,857$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.56 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,750$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,194.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 24c | 3,118$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,364.28 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd2…9693backed Yes | 15c | 3,080$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.86 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 21c | 2,600$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.3 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…d15dbacked Yes | 20c | 2,353$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 78c | 2,219$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4367…e904backed Yes | 58c | 2,165$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5583…8490backed Yes | 59c | 2,055$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 4c | 1,948$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…b881backed Yes | 58c | 1,449$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,415$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.91 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed Yes | 25c | 1,392$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 43c | 1,293$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 1,287$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a7…5d94backed Yes | 53c | 1,234$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked Yes | 58c | 1,233$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 1,194$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.2 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 1,190$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 16c | 1,151$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 36c | 1,140$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.37 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed Yes | 56c | 1,114$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed No | 18c | 1,107$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 42c | 1,055$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.25 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 56c | 1,050$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.73 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 11c | 1,041$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,019$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed No | 79c | 1,010$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.9 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…2497backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 16c | 987.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.08 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked No | 43c | 984.23$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 36c | 969.66$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 52c | 922.39$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.29 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…4d35backed Yes | 66c | 902.59$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Yes | 60c | 833.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 79c | 813.02$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…b673backed Yes | 35c | 809.59$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 58c | 772.98$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Yes | 56c | 719.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949b…b285backed Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…200bbacked Yes | 42c | 652$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 18c | 618.85$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 41c | 607.6$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed Yes | 23c | 607.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed No | 48c | 600.04$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 62c | 562.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.59 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…b889backed Yes | 63c | 554.63$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 18c | 553.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 77c | 510.53$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.45 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 53c | 470$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 58c | 453.63$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…cebfbacked Yes | 21c | 435.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 55c | 432.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed No | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5a6ebacked Yes | 20c | 401.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 71c | 393.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.72 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…4379backed Yes | 51c | 386.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…e6dcbacked Yes | 55c | 380$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8528…d446backed Yes | 54c | 367.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes | 55c | 365.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7110…4ae5backed Yes | 56c | 356.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5980…92d2backed Yes | 57c | 351.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7684…15c4backed Yes | 32c | 349.86$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…e535backed Yes | 56c | 349.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…25cabacked Yes | 63c | 338.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 50c | 318.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Yes | 59c | 307.73$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 61c | 303.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 15c | 302$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…946bbacked No | 48c | 300.93$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.45 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed Yes | 20c | 300$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.6 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 78c | 299.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ec…06eebacked No | 51c | 298.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 60c | 296.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 17c | 282.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 11c | 261.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.47 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 258.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.77 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked No | 4c | 258.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.