TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x941e…9775

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
436
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst Commodities at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT17067.1%114 W · 56 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$7.92
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$6.07
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$7.32
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$8.31
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+61%+$9.15
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$8.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$21.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$13.26
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$10.44
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$5.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+229%+$34.35
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+43%+$8.59
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+483.3%+$72.5
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$11.72
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+102.2%+$17.28
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+146.8%+$27.72
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-8.1wins-0.20per pick59cpaid-36.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Commodities — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$22.5
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$661.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.54
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.49
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.8
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+65%+$169.52
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$391.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$527.35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$68.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.17
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$189.05
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$26.93
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$82.83
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.58
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.55
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.67
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$216.56
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.37
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.75
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$72.34
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$102.08
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$58.69
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.51
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Infinex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$433.16
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.7%+$114.2
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$103.89
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$52.28
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$10.5
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.28
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$10.11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.46
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$91.02
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.09
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$6.59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$42.42
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST3369.7%23 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.5
76ers vs. Sunsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+32.5%+$4.9
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.65
76ers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.35
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.44
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.88
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.79
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$19.2
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$83.67
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.64
Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.15
Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.12
Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.39
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.83
Will Solana reach $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+287.8%+$256.3
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$64.68
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.04
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.39
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$53.9
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.07
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.95
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$41.28
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160.86
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$47.1
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Ethereum dip to $3800 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$172
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.8
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+210.6%+$33.9
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$25.13
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$49.46
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.5
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$159.49
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.83
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$105.42
Will George Russell achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.82
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$9.7
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.32
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.6
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$147.84
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$53.1
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$71.8
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+84.4%+$23.14
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$355
All 23 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.44
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.01
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.53
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$492.88
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.23
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.37
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+219.3%+$2,238.49
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,748Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+66.7%+$1,166.24
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+44.9%+$31
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+154.2%+$3,439.59
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+530.6%+$589
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.1
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+327.3%+$65.45
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+152.8%+$30.57
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$154.9
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$5.85
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.89
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$48.58
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$23.93
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$29.32
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.3%+$90.1
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$22.8
All 4 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$79
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$8.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$48.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$110.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$198
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$182.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.