Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63c0146e34bda596c2fb2e5a40fadaf4c33703fe06fc192c99a5477924c7958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $297,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 85,065$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.05 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 22,221$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…ec33backed Yes | 10c | 10,117$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…5181backed Yes | 3c | 6,018$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,186$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 17c | 3,927$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.59 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…296ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,575$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 8c | 3,555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.46 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 6c | 2,986$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.2wins | +0.40per pick | 15cpaid | +556.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…f6f5backed No | 77c | 2,707$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 78c | 1,943$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…a85ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,898$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…3873backed Yes | 18c | 1,809$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1dc5backed Yes | 32c | 1,717$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8a…d991backed Yes | 19c | 1,607$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…4457backed Yes | 6c | 1,539$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…c014backed Yes | 9c | 1,352$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 10c | 1,251$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…299fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,245$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…463ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,199$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385b…40e5backed Yes | 14c | 1,086$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +270.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,077$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 65c | 1,071$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a4…9edabacked Yes | 5c | 1,015$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 982.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 299 | 9.4%28 W · 271 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 10c | 791.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…36a1backed Yes | 6c | 782.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +800.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c3…5d6ebacked Yes | 27c | 778.43$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…5261backed Yes | 10c | 766.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 71c | 754.53$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 2c | 727.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +8.5wins | +0.15per pick | 3cpaid | +321.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa732…8818backed No | 69c | 717.2$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 7c | 700$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…eaf1backed Yes | 14c | 698.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…45d8backed Yes | 2c | 698.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…308bbacked Yes | 21c | 686.27$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x388a…f8f9backed Yes | 3c | 645.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 79c | 629.97$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.79 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…27d8backed Yes | 13c | 611.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 606.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Yes | 16c | 569.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491f…d8d4backed Yes | 4c | 565.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…1364backed No | 72c | 506.21$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…4287backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…3ceebacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…b528backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 26c | 496.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…88c7backed Yes | 5c | 449$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 33c | 432.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 39c | 412.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 12c | 406.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 13cpaid | +552.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…6564backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3951…c5b2backed No | 78c | 400$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…79dfbacked No | 62c | 385.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…04f5backed Yes | 10c | 323.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 18c | 318.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.05 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…b8f8backed Yes | 6c | 308.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 6c | 271.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…c074backed Yes | 29c | 263.1$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ab…6b93backed Yes | 39c | 257.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc20…b9a8backed Yes | 40c | 248.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9084…d70fbacked Yes | 8c | 223.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a22…ee5bbacked Yes | 45c | 214.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked No | 71c | 211.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b19…18c8backed Yes | 10c | 206.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…58edbacked Yes | 11c | 205.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +535.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf17f…b558backed Yes | 6c | 204.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf492…3b8bbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…176ebacked Yes | 25c | 199.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a3…8642backed No | 80c | 190.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…3cd0backed No | 78c | 178.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Yes | 28c | 176.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bb…f345backed Yes | 30c | 169.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 29cpaid | +176%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…e7a0backed No | 70c | 166.44$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 21c | 163.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…9858backed No | 70c | 142.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac3a…6835backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e9…f6b5backed No | 77c | 129.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…2f24backed Yes | 10c | 121.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Yes | 45c | 112.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…ea56backed Yes | 45c | 110.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…b834backed Yes | 19c | 103.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…24d3backed Yes | 35c | 100.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…23cebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4a…cd44backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…339ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1b…8ac9backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e31…2f76backed Yes | 44c | 98.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…ece6backed Yes | 28c | 88.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ab…614bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…20f6backed Yes | 28c | 71.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked No | 55c | 62.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…99b7backed Yes | 28c | 60.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…21c7backed No | 65c | 58.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3163backed Yes | 35c | 57.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +288.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes | 22c | 54.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $26 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?No won
- Will Hyperliquid hit $46 in January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.