TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x359c…3163

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT3060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.39
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Morocco to score first vs. Scotland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Czechia vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$28.67
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Brazil to score first vs. Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick42cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid+288.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick11cpaid-33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix reach $105 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.