Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe93c89c41d1bb08d3bb40066d8565df301a696563b2542256e6e8bbbb1ec490d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,767,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,019,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,767,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 2c | 1,131,671$22,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,208.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 1c | 728,382$7,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,665.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…993abacked No | 0c | 671,836$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 1c | 506,000$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,877.33 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked No | 11c | 485,305$53,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,345.61 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 1c | 438,732$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.4 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed No | 8c | 409,074$32,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,743.93 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…665fbacked No | 1c | 338,782$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 1c | 300,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed No | 2c | 265,895$5,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,253.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…e9dabacked No | 7c | 265,272$17,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,574.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb425…c80bbacked No | 1c | 218,685$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.97 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 2c | 212,666$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…19c1backed No | 1c | 200,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…a144backed Yes | 78c | 199,987$155,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,896.87 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…338cbacked No | 5c | 185,371$8,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,601.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…3cc1backed No | 0c | 166,087$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…4201backed No | 5c | 158,104$7,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c8…79e2backed No | 10c | 145,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…54b7backed No | 5c | 144,610$7,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,910.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dac…7239backed No | 4c | 134,445$5,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,030.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 4c | 132,630$5,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543.29 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe19b…cdc2backed No | 5c | 129,572$6,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,505.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…35c1backed No | 1c | 119,380$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed No | 1c | 117,095$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Yes | 78c | 116,971$90,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,294.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccc…6272backed No | 1c | 113,669$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 1c | 111,209$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.85 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…cf6fbacked No | 5c | 109,759$5,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,378.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes | 76c | 108,272$82,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,183.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec1…489bbacked No | 5c | 105,155$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…5e90backed No | 1c | 103,744$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…2517backed No | 1c | 102,083$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…2168backed No | 1c | 100,155$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f61…3478backed No | 1c | 99,948$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc4…05adbacked No | 1c | 98,040$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6e89backed No | 0c | 95,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…fc15backed No | 1c | 94,582$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 7c | 94,000$6,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,298 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed Yes | 78c | 91,397$70,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,543.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…3f61backed No | 0c | 84,950$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…f002backed No | 1c | 83,667$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 77c | 78,695$60,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,737.4 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…3b02backed No | 1c | 78,111$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 78c | 75,037$58,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,699.9 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…0821backed No | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed No | 23c | 73,686$16,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,732.09 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886b…00c0backed No | 2c | 73,135$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58de…608abacked No | 1c | 71,461$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 12c | 71,031$8,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,760.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…e443backed No | 0c | 70,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…de96backed No | 19c | 68,423$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…5ed5backed Yes | 79c | 66,981$52,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,375.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…38bebacked No | 13c | 66,024$8,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,583.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…6272backed No | 0c | 65,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed No | 20c | 64,046$13,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,113.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…aa05backed No | 6c | 63,980$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…88f5backed No | 0c | 63,459$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d10…957cbacked No | 2c | 62,693$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e3…686abacked No | 1c | 62,306$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 61c | 60,424$37,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,359.7 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb71…9f37backed No | 0c | 60,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 0c | 58,369$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…200dbacked No | 4c | 57,694$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.93 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…2824backed No | 4c | 54,096$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d9b8backed No | 0c | 54,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked No | 5c | 53,867$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…6e47backed No | 0c | 53,620$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 1c | 52,986$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.19 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa607…2caebacked No | 1c | 52,800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bb…38e9backed No | 0c | 51,817$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 77c | 51,772$39,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,971.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 51,545$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.59 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…f088backed No | 5c | 51,423$2,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…8927backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd0…53e5backed No | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…4f0fbacked No | 4c | 50,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…1156backed No | 1c | 49,910$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…89efbacked No | 0c | 49,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…70cbbacked No | 1c | 48,682$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a7…1038backed No | 1c | 48,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0f…bf99backed No | 4c | 47,072$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x878e…a074backed No | 6c | 46,876$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.79 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…2fa6backed No | 2c | 45,765$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…2fdebacked No | 1c | 44,934$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…0ea2backed No | 3c | 43,868$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…1989backed No | 22c | 43,461$9,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,534.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…8cbabacked No | 3c | 43,272$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.48 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…3750backed No | 1c | 42,857$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…11a9backed No | 4c | 42,476$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…32d3backed No | 0c | 41,330$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…9d93backed No | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1899…1bf3backed No | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…c0aebacked No | 1c | 38,532$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…5577backed No | 0c | 38,520$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed Yes | 80c | 37,655$29,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,674.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf029…a292backed No | 0c | 37,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…9bccbacked No | 4c | 37,094$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.