TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x682c…17ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
911
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 56 out of 100; worst IPO at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT21521.9%47 W · 168 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 215 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$7,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,900.9
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,310.91
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,081.7
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$7,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,599.08
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.64
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$4,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,831.98
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,349Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,348.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$6,645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,644.55
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$529.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.83
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,017.14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,709.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,512Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+170.8%+$2,582.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$2,919Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,918.85
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$9,718Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+645%+$62,680.12
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12,959Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+193.9%+$25,128.9
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,520.77
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+372.8%+$7,924.56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$3,285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,285.39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,984Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+435.1%+$12,983.94
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,669.61
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.05
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,523Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+578.9%+$14,605.84
Showing 25 of 215 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT948.5%8 W · 86 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-70.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+153.1%+$595.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$9,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,171.61
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$3,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,826.91
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$853.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,562Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,561.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$689.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.77
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,985Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,984.92
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,324.37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+585.2%+$10,486.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$714.49
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.2
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$566Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$566.48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$9,393Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,393.49
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT634.8%3 W · 60 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-90.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,152.17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,051.7
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,021Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.73
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.65
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,372.58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$664Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$664.14
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.69
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$408.04
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.71
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.28
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.48
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.09
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.5
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$429.44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.65
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.07
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.64
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.03
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.69
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.79
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+126.2%+$332.99
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT6219.4%12 W · 50 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.93
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$3,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,383.43
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$591Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+252.5%+$1,492.66
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,747.22
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,405.43
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.59
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.75
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,052.34
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,042.76
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$598.05
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,088.02
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,751.55
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+344.6%+$4,320.58
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,426.52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,743Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+233.2%+$4,066.36
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.76
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.19
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+447.6%+$3,836.71
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+330.2%+$3,684.02
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.95
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,872Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+407.6%+$7,628.83
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,834Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+571.8%+$10,486.38
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.51
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT5722.8%13 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$734.13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.68
Will Trump and Putin not meet?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.23
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,989Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,989.27
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350.42
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.92
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.49
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,084Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$3,722.05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+2,243.4%+$1,978.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,047.7%+$879.17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.15
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$554.03
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$34.59
Will China join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.14
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.26
Will France join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.67
Will Germany join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,955Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,955.19
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+301.2%+$2,142.94
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$721.98
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT407.5%3 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.67
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.58
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.72
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.84
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.02
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.32
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+2,330.5%+$337.46
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$401.42
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.03
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.36
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.03
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.73
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+508.7%+$1,807.65
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.62
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.45
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.33
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,644.06
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,414.71
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+215.7%+$456.03
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,596.12
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.79
Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.43
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+271.6%+$370.59
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$762.88
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,494.19
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.84
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$354.98
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.36
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$3,876.17
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,347%+$31,003.47
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,090Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,089.76
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$517.57
Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$59.18
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,884Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+432%+$12,456.94
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$210.85
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$305.06
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$214.43
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$828Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+49%+$405.81
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-93.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.82
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,938Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,938.4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.91
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$772
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020.49
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.95
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$666Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.69
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.69
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,355.92
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.81
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.89
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$852Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$852.22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.04
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.81
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$739.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.78
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.6
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,358.29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,739.97
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,437Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,436.97
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$231.06
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,820.95
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,681Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+562.6%+$15,086.44
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,282Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+275.1%+$3,526.58
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.34
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.91
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.02
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$669Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$668.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,162.93
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,375Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,375.34
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.86
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,355Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,354.63
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.05
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,309.6
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.52
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.85
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.35
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$4,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,236.35
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$602.22
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.46
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.53
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.88
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,850.97
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.53
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3010%3 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+838.7%+$27,194.21
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,609.44
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+157.6%+$164.47
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+222.2%+$3,250.56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$686.92
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.93
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.89
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,648.19
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.77
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,105.71
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,518.69
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$5,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,362.22
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,962.43
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$988.18
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,067.65
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.93
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.84
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.17
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$5,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,189.14
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.3
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.38
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT273.7%1 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-90.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.21
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.06
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,558.94
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+161.7%+$230.94
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.6
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.72
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.63
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.26
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.34
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.52
Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.86
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.34
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$413.55
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.19
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.34
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.6
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.55
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.29
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$715.5
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.84
Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.15
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.99
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid-56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$7,531Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$7,530.63
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$6,916Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+408%+$28,216.95
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,202Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+117.3%+$1,409.41
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+129.2%+$1,908.66
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$7,268.72
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$5,942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$5,941.53
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$2,785Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$2,784.73
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,094Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,094.04
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,846.64
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$638.79
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$729.69
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$759.74
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$246.78
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170.28
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,259.94
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$135.63
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$408
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,519.99
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$439.42
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$587.59
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$307.66
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$402.84
All 22 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+444.3%+$250.29
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$582.09
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$528.57
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$252.69
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$3,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$3,020.33
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$262.07
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$252.25
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$5,980Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$5,979.55
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$459.46
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+181.4%+$4,047.25
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+437.4%+$2,517.1
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+518.8%+$9,702.56
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,886.83
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$4,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,454
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,099Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+124.7%+$3,863.02
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$890.22
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$711.61
All 18 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT185.6%1 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+530.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.24
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,668.49
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$451.78
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$643.06
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,292.5
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.78
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,839.16
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.35
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.09
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$438.88
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.02
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.39
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.48
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$655.4
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+11,252%+$1,402.45
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$471.39
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$388.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.27
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$971.91
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.25
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$712Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$712.2
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.17
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.74
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.9
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.04
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.81
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.35
Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.66
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$873Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$873.44
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$73.71
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.87
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.12
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+652.8%+$2,120.94
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.58
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$3,574Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,574.11
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,514Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,513.82
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100.15
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.73
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.1
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.93
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.06
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.52
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,494Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,494.19
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$183.63
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,294.26
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-63.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$583.08
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+414.7%+$287.27
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,676Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,675.62
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.23
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.1
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.78
Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$624.15
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.75
Will Arkansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.29
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.64
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$883.44
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.18
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.45
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.05
All 14 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.6
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,811Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,811.23
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.89
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.72
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.39
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.48
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.48
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$369.46
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.92
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$547.34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$895.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.38
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+298.1%+$1,848.89
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.08
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.78
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+559.6%+$1,548.85
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$762Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+157%+$1,196.12
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.56
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$1,321.04
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477.07
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,388Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+94%+$1,304.98
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.35
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,198.52
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.73
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+1,283.7%+$3,967.41
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.13
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.74
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.22
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.51
Will G2 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.17
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.97
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$855Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$855.2
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.6
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.03
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.99
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.24
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-77.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.1
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+169.7%+$112.77
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,184.68
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.18
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.78
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$560.66
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.7
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.95
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.15
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.36
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$3,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,382.04
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.47
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.1
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.67
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.87
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.86
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$441.46
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$667.16
All 12 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$941Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$940.68
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+622.2%+$2,433.4
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+167.9%+$1,125.64
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$841Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$841.16
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$915.28
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$330.47
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$442.19
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,853.1
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,837Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,836.58
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$356.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.92
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$900.53
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,388.14
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.8
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+184.2%+$361.23
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+172.6%+$248.42
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.98
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$98.57
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$79.5
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$2,114.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick10cpaid+173.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$7,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$7,706.28
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+85.2%+$46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.