Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bd159f85d7ca336b51bff843712188f62a8daef8d02b4c575cec4495c0e9f59

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $455,670
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $405,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,670 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 531 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	6,650$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.12	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe95b…b218backed Yes	5c	2,763$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x91be…dbd5backed Yes	5c	2,518$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.83	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd083…ea42backed Yes	3c	2,495$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd71…dc4ebacked Yes	4c	2,399$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf64…89b9backed Yes	3c	2,387$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.87	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf714…0289backed Yes	5c	2,268$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d2…2147backed Yes	3c	2,253$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Yes	2c	2,166$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8768…8aa4backed Yes	4c	2,103$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58fb…3786backed Yes	4c	2,095$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	5c	2,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	1,976$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.04	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689b…dc54backed Yes	4c	1,883$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c42…33bebacked Yes	4c	1,786$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5186…0abebacked Yes	4c	1,783$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7d…23b0backed Yes	4c	1,743$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x578f…3498backed Yes	5c	1,663$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…ccccbacked Yes	5c	1,661$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.41	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f66…88d8backed Yes	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc588…979bbacked Yes	5c	1,594$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e9cabacked Yes	5c	1,563$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f60…cb70backed Yes	5c	1,547$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	1,546$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.83	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…6aa4backed Yes	4c	1,525$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65d0…425abacked Yes	5c	1,482$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x702a…40c8backed Yes	5c	1,387$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd686…e09dbacked Yes	6c	1,360$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2987…19a7backed Yes	5c	1,343$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.67	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c1…4e0ebacked Yes	5c	1,304$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc11…3636backed Yes	2c	1,300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94f…d6e5backed Yes	5c	1,255$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.73	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Yes	1c	1,240$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80bb…f038backed Yes	5c	1,234$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f5…75c4backed Yes	5c	1,209$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3503…323cbacked Yes	5c	1,203$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.34	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…2b1fbacked Yes	4c	1,200$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcec4…6aadbacked Yes	4c	1,172$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d7…c9a5backed Yes	2c	1,170$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	12c	1,170$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.52	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf20…67aebacked Yes	2c	1,140$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	9c	1,132$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.1	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdc5…8742backed Yes	5c	1,128$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb41e…9e27backed Yes	4c	1,128$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.63	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf89…102dbacked Yes	5c	1,089$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4700…3575backed Yes	5c	1,035$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	5c	1,008$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.61	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a58…41a9backed Yes	5c	1,004$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…a439backed Yes	4c	1,003$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1b9…00bbbacked Yes	5c	964$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…5a82backed Yes	4c	939$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d0…4f77backed Yes	5c	883$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	6c	829.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.17	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c4…82d5backed Yes	6c	807$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcef…19bcbacked Yes	5c	761$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.53	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe538…b704backed Yes	16c	745$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…a1ffbacked Yes	5c	745$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2e…e025backed Yes	11c	700$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed Yes	5c	641.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd741…4d35backed Yes	16c	632$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadda…233ebacked Yes	4c	613$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed Yes	11c	604$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.84	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…c1c8backed Yes	17c	600$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x487c…9c17backed Yes	17c	591$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd247…614fbacked Yes	17c	580$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0525…286ebacked Yes	13c	579$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc3…0b41backed Yes	15c	575$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	5c	574.57$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc14…95e1backed Yes	5c	573$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6c…1af6backed Yes	16c	567$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c37…1241backed Yes	16c	561$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe11b…aaf2backed Yes	16c	561$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e8…a619backed Yes	5c	559$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.71	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfad1…7a5cbacked Yes	13c	558$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	10c	552.91$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.38	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e2…7d46backed Yes	15c	551$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	548.86$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.48	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5e…3458backed Yes	16c	539$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2312…4c7ebacked Yes	16c	539$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a8…caf9backed Yes	16c	539$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc877…fb52backed Yes	13c	536$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2c…6a93backed Yes	17c	531$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	9c	526.94$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6369…ae2bbacked Yes	13c	522$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17a4…3ee5backed Yes	17c	519$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4890…352ebacked Yes	17c	518$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6825…54f9backed Yes	16c	517$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…5e5abacked Yes	17c	517$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…5887backed Yes	17c	514$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8786…58d6backed Yes	17c	514$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.84	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa256…c140backed Yes	17c	510$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69cb…f272backed Yes	17c	504$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5531…0b74backed Yes	13c	502$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…1282backed Yes	17c	501$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f97…f3d2backed Yes	17c	495$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd3…1eefbacked Yes	16c	477$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f21…b935backed Yes	11c	470.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	3c	467.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74e2…0ec7backed Yes	13c	467$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	13cpaid	+265%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc97a…c1f7backed Yes	16c	467$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event