Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb01ccc1a20c750020ac0282d5e9f5d8e1198c85b3cb72700ba11a34878c42811

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $439,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $384,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $439,096 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed No	48c	13,321$6,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,951.72	136	16.2%22 W · 114 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	6,315$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.66	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	14c	6,265$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.43	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	41c	5,740$2,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,336.25	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	2c	5,672$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.75	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	50c	4,655$2,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,334.46	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes	34c	3,085$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.42	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	26cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes	52c	3,000$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	10c	2,554$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.36	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	37c	2,534$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.03	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes	52c	2,500$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,305	125	28%35 W · 90 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	34c	2,302$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.64	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	52c	2,240$1,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,169.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaea…7205backed Yes	4c	2,034$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	51c	2,000$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked No	69c	1,775$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.27	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6924…e6c0backed Yes	2c	1,774$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x036d…3516backed Yes	34c	1,768$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	3c	1,718$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.41	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb19…9a2abacked Yes	32c	1,700$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.2	68	25%17 W · 51 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd407…d4f5backed Yes	52c	1,516$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$791.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…f61ebacked Yes	52c	1,508$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	52c	1,498$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.89	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6898…7fb5backed Yes	52c	1,365$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb068…834bbacked Yes	3c	1,320$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4af2…6341backed No	69c	1,320$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.79	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	16c	1,291$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Yes	52c	1,260$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…573cbacked Yes	3c	1,183$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f91…fce7backed Yes	3c	1,160$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71df…5e24backed Yes	52c	1,150$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	30c	1,104$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.49	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb86…1a3abacked Yes	47c	1,092$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$515.09	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5999…83cabacked Yes	14c	1,065$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd675…5cdebacked Yes	3c	1,050$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.35	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	24cpaid	+105.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	5c	1,047$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.85	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf0…3cccbacked No	77c	1,021$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6223…6d15backed Yes	3c	1,015$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x909a…f13cbacked Yes	3c	1,008$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	3cpaid	+1,297.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	41c	1,007$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.4	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9d…8296backed Yes	4c	1,002$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed No	48c	1,000$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Yes	52c	1,000$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.5	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Yes	52c	1,000$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	995.31$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	2,160	3.9%85 W · 2,075 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	42c	988.17$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.24	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x509b…aefabacked Yes	4c	942$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0753…f478backed Yes	3c	924$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	3cpaid	+1,983.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc9f…3a3fbacked Yes	4c	920$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.12	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	5c	915.79$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.83	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…f73dbacked Yes	28c	882$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16dd…0f86backed Yes	20c	851$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa133…a119backed Yes	19c	828$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0eb…1a41backed Yes	32c	823$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	2c	794.52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c60…410fbacked Yes	3c	792$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd805…9eaabacked Yes	10c	791.89$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.08	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd114…7813backed Yes	30c	787$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94f…d6e5backed Yes	3c	785$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb92a…f51cbacked Yes	52c	784.9$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	761.82$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.41	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb7…90b5backed Yes	51c	760.33$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.05	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62e4…b7e3backed Yes	4c	759$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4261…8d5bbacked Yes	8c	753.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+153.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c2c…314abacked Yes	3c	749$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f38…e56cbacked Yes	4c	740.21$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.58	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7045…0494backed Yes	5c	718.74$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05f3…045ebacked Yes	27c	716$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5147…ff48backed Yes	3c	710$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bed…b829backed Yes	3c	703$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	7cpaid	+129.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	19c	700$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.5	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca86…560cbacked Yes	6c	699.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac7…4cf9backed Yes	3c	688$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+371.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd9…abeabacked Yes	3c	679$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.37	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1846…3420backed Yes	3c	675$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6a…0c09backed Yes	3c	662$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e72…bd6fbacked Yes	3c	635$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8121…3cc7backed Yes	23c	620$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5492…496dbacked Yes	20c	612$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…1e32backed Yes	29c	612$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.87	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	10c	611$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.73	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bc…6f77backed Yes	26c	610$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba2…3ad2backed Yes	15c	604$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699a…aba7backed Yes	20c	604$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x785d…e87dbacked Yes	15c	604$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c5…ae6cbacked Yes	27c	598$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d86…36f4backed Yes	25c	597$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x108a…dc8dbacked Yes	35c	592$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2470…f8f1backed Yes	26c	588$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	584.19$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	4c	584$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.26	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x744b…bc2ebacked Yes	33c	580$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf271…2744backed No	80c	564$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a57…fda1backed Yes	50c	560$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf917…22edbacked Yes	25c	555$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	23cpaid	+147.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfe…e2cabacked Yes	24c	554$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes	35c	553.53$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e4…4549backed Yes	14c	552$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064b…283abacked Yes	30c	547$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event