Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x371753d34985850a3c5b34c56282e9005921c40af255a55e24018efc8e740a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 8c | 12,674$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.16 | 2,576 | 13.2%339 W · 2,237 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 1c | 9,184$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 140 | 15.7%22 W · 118 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913f…c676backed Yes | 4c | 7,687$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.27 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 3c | 6,319$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…56a5backed Yes | 15c | 3,910$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…c994backed Yes | 8c | 3,753$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…5befbacked Yes | 7c | 3,366$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…042cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,342$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…e094backed Yes | 5c | 3,340$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…0417backed Yes | 5c | 3,243$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…9c76backed Yes | 5c | 3,141$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…2dc1backed Yes | 8c | 3,004$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…c21cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,894$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4828backed Yes | 5c | 2,856$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…d2ccbacked Yes | 5c | 2,605$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…ee49backed Yes | 8c | 2,559$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fc…229ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,500$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.66 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e968backed Yes | 4c | 2,205$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…e7debacked Yes | 7c | 2,137$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…71f8backed Yes | 5c | 2,045$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Yes | 4c | 2,040$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…5adebacked Yes | 5c | 2,013$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 12c | 1,982$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.13 | 852 | 16.4%140 W · 712 L | +24.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…63c0backed Yes | 5c | 1,725$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc042…0217backed Yes | 5c | 1,639$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…2014backed Yes | 6c | 1,616$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…7615backed Yes | 8c | 1,600$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c87…0136backed Yes | 8c | 1,568$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…66f8backed Yes | 4c | 1,517$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…a630backed Yes | 4c | 1,507$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…34fbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,471$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…7a52backed Yes | 5c | 1,469$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…d269backed Yes | 4c | 1,449$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c8…2b76backed Yes | 7c | 1,437$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0820…1f56backed Yes | 5c | 1,428$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…3000backed Yes | 4c | 1,415$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…2ceebacked Yes | 4c | 1,407$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…a728backed Yes | 5c | 1,391$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…e969backed Yes | 4c | 1,358$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc548…65dcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,351$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…6489backed Yes | 6c | 1,346$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…bc1fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,341$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b27…631dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,316$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc95…0152backed Yes | 5c | 1,313$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5169…0f20backed Yes | 4c | 1,273$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…c600backed Yes | 3c | 1,244$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 12c | 1,237$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…55bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,221$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…2f25backed Yes | 3c | 1,181$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…67aebacked Yes | 10c | 1,139$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.16 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…9776backed Yes | 7c | 1,107$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…326fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,099$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…ff7bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,090$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8d…f378backed Yes | 7c | 1,057$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…50d6backed Yes | 5c | 1,032$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…72febacked Yes | 6c | 1,025$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216c…ec53backed Yes | 13c | 1,022$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…21a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,021$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…df76backed Yes | 13c | 1,017$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 995.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 2,181 | 3.9%85 W · 2,096 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…628ebacked Yes | 6c | 976$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcef…19bcbacked Yes | 5c | 968$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…0e43backed Yes | 6c | 964$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…aa16backed Yes | 13c | 960$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…d2aebacked Yes | 14c | 950$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…a2b6backed Yes | 6c | 946$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 9c | 930.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 1,041 | 11%115 W · 926 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…3dc2backed Yes | 5c | 929$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…072abacked Yes | 6c | 914$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd032…e636backed Yes | 15c | 912$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc42…8dcdbacked Yes | 5c | 909$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc3…0b41backed Yes | 15c | 907$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8d…b2d7backed Yes | 5c | 905$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes | 5c | 899.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…f7f1backed Yes | 3c | 898$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc911…4d11backed Yes | 5c | 885$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…f606backed Yes | 5c | 881$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb847…51acbacked Yes | 5c | 880$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5e…f1b0backed Yes | 4c | 878.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…414bbacked Yes | 4c | 861.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…39e0backed Yes | 5c | 833$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…7c2abacked Yes | 5c | 832$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…e6b8backed Yes | 5c | 828$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…aba6backed Yes | 8c | 828$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…dabebacked Yes | 4c | 823$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…f10fbacked Yes | 5c | 813$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea9…1699backed Yes | 6c | 809$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb2…e80abacked Yes | 11c | 797$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff40…c553backed Yes | 5c | 781$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 4cpaid | +1,462.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 9c | 777.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 71 | 5.6%4 W · 67 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…394ebacked Yes | 6c | 760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 8c | 733.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 89 | 15.7%14 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…fd45backed Yes | 4c | 717$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…680fbacked Yes | 4c | 716$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…31e3backed Yes | 13c | 716$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07e…1c74backed Yes | 14c | 715$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.