Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x075dc01bc42ffe758d0c21a9eede7b6d04ca68006fbda82277637a630852a560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7534…c561backed Yes | 3c | 4,980$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 0c | 4,877$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 8.8%6 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,692$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…33ecbacked Yes | 3c | 3,245$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,823.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…edc8backed Yes | 3c | 3,171$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 2c | 2,404$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…1ae5backed Yes | 3c | 2,298$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…c26cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,153$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…8707backed Yes | 3c | 2,067$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c9…28d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,827$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…99a4backed Yes | 3c | 1,791$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +262.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…27d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,654$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…29a5backed Yes | 3c | 1,639$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…a630backed Yes | 3c | 1,638$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…bcd2backed Yes | 3c | 1,635$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…8857backed Yes | 3c | 1,546$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…8921backed Yes | 3c | 1,516$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…a390backed Yes | 3c | 1,485$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…c25bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,456$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc7…7d84backed Yes | 3c | 1,398$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…e2a4backed Yes | 4c | 1,384$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c0…3000backed Yes | 3c | 1,360$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…6526backed Yes | 3c | 1,327$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…f7f1backed Yes | 3c | 1,310$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…a58bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,288$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…639ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,278$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…a04dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,238$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d1…9f3fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,221$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…8e04backed Yes | 3c | 1,209$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbf…3b98backed Yes | 4c | 1,140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 4cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…8368backed Yes | 3c | 1,117$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe183…bb96backed Yes | 3c | 1,112$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,102$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd58…1082backed Yes | 3c | 1,095$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…3846backed Yes | 4c | 1,067$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fbc7backed Yes | 4c | 1,051$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…90aebacked Yes | 3c | 1,004$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd4…3135backed Yes | 3c | 982$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…96fdbacked Yes | 3c | 982$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…efaabacked Yes | 3c | 932$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…7b7cbacked Yes | 2c | 894.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb81…d4d3backed Yes | 3c | 859$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 2c | 810.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 790.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 785.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,053 | 5.6%59 W · 994 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 775.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ad…2244backed Yes | 3c | 775$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…848abacked Yes | 3c | 774$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…f394backed Yes | 3c | 747$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…c20cbacked Yes | 3c | 665$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…3976backed Yes | 3c | 641$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0116…fdf7backed Yes | 6c | 607.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…e90fbacked Yes | 3c | 533$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9551backed Yes | 3c | 492$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bf…544ebacked Yes | 3c | 475.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 8cpaid | +162.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 3c | 464.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…82b2backed Yes | 3c | 363$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 3c | 309.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.