Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x581352fe3623a148a065a2a16fc4ef4fc8cc147728bcc5d3e3a0fc04c4b8abc0

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $195,289
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $134,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,289 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7312…a168backed Yes	23c	11,407$2,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,657.95	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x176b…60f9backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	3c	5,768$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.45	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x387e…56a5backed No	76c	4,394$3,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04d3…e516backed Yes	5c	3,215$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	2,712$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6e…f83dbacked Yes	4c	2,627$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x057c…0306backed Yes	5c	2,626$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc51…d99abacked Yes	4c	2,612$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x78e6…71d5backed Yes	4c	2,355$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.91	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73b9…fdd6backed Yes	5c	2,334$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f4…c26cbacked Yes	5c	2,275$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.93	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2a43…c867backed Yes	4c	2,237$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe964…ea93backed Yes	6c	1,765$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	1c	1,679$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.56	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa388…ba76backed Yes	6c	1,596$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92bc…bdc0backed Yes	6c	1,569$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0f…d9a9backed Yes	4c	1,254$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	1c	1,069$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfa…6fc4backed Yes	4c	1,036$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f8b…7b53backed Yes	6c	1,028$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	885.4$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66a…08c5backed Yes	4c	869$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	866.02$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.09	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	11c	797.12$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.32	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	13c	769.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb3…b8f5backed Yes	4c	760$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.44	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8185…e770backed Yes	4c	720$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	675.9$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.53	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	600.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.32	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…b4bcbacked Yes	4c	595$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4640…57d4backed Yes	4c	556$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f95…6b00backed Yes	15c	542$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca46…9203backed Yes	4c	527$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.19	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1b3a…65e7backed Yes	18c	491$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	454.95$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2327…5473backed Yes	11c	420$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd784…24b6backed Yes	12c	419.43$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.73	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041e…76b0backed Yes	12c	408.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	13c	404.11$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.74	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	395.57$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	386.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f21…b935backed Yes	13c	378.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	5c	333.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.51	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…e6e4backed Yes	23c	309$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b7…b82bbacked Yes	23c	309$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes	12c	303.2$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b1d…8721backed Yes	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e7…348abacked Yes	24c	299$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…a7bbbacked Yes	24c	299$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	13c	297.85$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc499…e3f9backed Yes	24c	297$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	5c	281.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb1…4e87backed Yes	11c	280$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cd6…c4b9backed Yes	18c	275$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…1203backed Yes	18c	271.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0a…743ebacked Yes	6c	265$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	4c	257.51$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb36…a262backed Yes	24c	246$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf8b…a2cebacked Yes	24c	246$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b6…730dbacked Yes	24c	246$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	244.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.86	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28f9…1db4backed Yes	24c	234$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ace…ef05backed Yes	5c	225$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.58	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd780…88f5backed Yes	24c	222$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e6…f25cbacked Yes	24c	222$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	7c	220.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…3e0fbacked Yes	23c	220$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce9…a8d2backed No	76c	219$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.56	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f19…27adbacked Yes	6c	212$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	11cpaid	+58%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf749…3952backed No	76c	212$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.67	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32c8…9942backed Yes	9c	211.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe645…84cfbacked No	76c	210$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b8…4c10backed No	76c	208$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+428.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Yes	16c	205.28$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x939f…073bbacked Yes	24c	202$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.27	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…4509backed No	76c	201$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.24	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf4…928cbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3673…9806backed Yes	15c	196$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d47…0c76backed No	76c	185$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175c…6d5dbacked No	76c	177$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	19c	176.55$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.83	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4c…0a95backed No	76c	176$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.06	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	10c	174.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…4962backed No	76c	172$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x826a…98b9backed Yes	24c	168$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497f…43e4backed Yes	11c	150.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.31	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a0…4230backed Yes	26c	149$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.74	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b94…2ee4backed No	76c	145$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9b…6f40backed No	76c	141$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	7c	137.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	108	40.7%44 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc89…88ecbacked Yes	17c	126.03$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3d…ae2dbacked No	76c	121$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe97d…1cb9backed No	76c	116$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x339e…829fbacked No	76c	115.18$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede6…30f9backed Yes	23c	115$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb854…fcd3backed Yes	24c	110$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a3c…37bdbacked Yes	24c	110$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e2…96b4backed No	76c	104$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.86	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee91…bd14backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event