Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97c8b4dae9b5c57183bd8329bcc534d124fb6f8080cd144de8849cb78153b4f7

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $409,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $337,364

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $409,942 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 287 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	1c	24,533$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.48	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	6c	20,533$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.45	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	11,391$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.46	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09a2…a85fbacked Yes	0c	6,038$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	6c	5,795$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.94	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53d8…8082backed Yes	0c	5,102$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	0c	5,084$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	1c	4,700$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.55	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	4,263$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.87	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6151…1678backed Yes	2c	2,633$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…0100backed Yes	2c	2,530$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	9c	2,500$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.32	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	6c	2,499$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.04	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	2,292$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.35	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	2,189$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.86	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	7c	1,983$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.77	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	4c	1,941$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.95	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	8c	1,812$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.95	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	11c	1,800$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.2	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9776…fbc7backed Yes	2c	1,730$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x774f…8779backed Yes	2c	1,576$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c22…3a2dbacked Yes	2c	1,572$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	7c	1,302$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.08	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	10c	1,178$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	14c	1,154$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.48	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	1,078$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.39	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca9…34adbacked Yes	1c	1,025$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6aa…132abacked Yes	4c	989.9$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+57%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	3c	936.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.42	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	4c	911.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.88	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	2c	900$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	875.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…6065backed Yes	6c	837.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	6c	799.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes	16c	793.98$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.19	104	31.7%33 W · 71 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	25cpaid	+125.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	16c	755.85$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.26	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…38e2backed Yes	6c	711.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.81	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22d6…f8b3backed Yes	4c	696.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	26c	669.83$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.39	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ca…c434backed Yes	13c	623$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6285…4654backed Yes	9c	616$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c75…fd50backed Yes	19c	594.22$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.22	156	31.4%49 W · 107 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a04…4238backed Yes	9c	590$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbec…948fbacked Yes	13c	587$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0a…3976backed Yes	2c	563$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…9a0bbacked Yes	5c	562$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.48	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	5c	561.29$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…cdc4backed Yes	12c	559$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…d7babacked Yes	11c	547$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d6…aa29backed Yes	14c	542$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	533.97$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda6c…1e0dbacked Yes	13c	528$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	10c	523.55$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.91	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc4…cc49backed Yes	13c	510$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	505.34$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes	3c	499.83$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.46	87	12.6%11 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d22…5d92backed Yes	13c	498$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	2c	497.85$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…234abacked Yes	10c	493.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	489.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…dde1backed Yes	13c	484$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x304b…a125backed Yes	6c	481.04$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26cd…b65bbacked Yes	10c	478$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No	80c	477$382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.4	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	476.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.93	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82b…dfa0backed Yes	9c	470$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6890…de45backed Yes	11c	467$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4327…1161backed Yes	10c	456$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.06	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes	2c	454.55$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	59	15.3%9 W · 50 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c71…1a5bbacked Yes	2c	454$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8741…da3dbacked Yes	11c	454$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Yes	19c	449.04$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.42	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa411…861bbacked Yes	13c	449$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.37	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+164.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa040…95e3backed Yes	11c	443$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe942…469bbacked Yes	11c	442$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x003a…7631backed Yes	11c	434$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21e8…ee02backed Yes	11c	432$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	4c	431.72$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c8…f024backed Yes	11c	422$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0da0…efcebacked Yes	3c	418$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	5cpaid	+420.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	12c	414.3$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb4…af7cbacked Yes	13c	411$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…22edbacked Yes	9c	408$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…4c29backed Yes	9c	404.26$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.66	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e4…65aabacked Yes	14c	402$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b1…7184backed Yes	13c	401$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4098…b799backed Yes	11c	398$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69cc…0d7dbacked Yes	4c	391.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+103%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	9c	390.55$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.93	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a31…2f42backed Yes	11c	390$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.29	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4022…7c08backed Yes	11c	387$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	7c	376$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	3c	370$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.29	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa70a…2fe4backed Yes	13c	370$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xea15…b885backed Yes	11c	367$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…f0fabacked Yes	11c	364$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf18…b9e3backed Yes	4c	362.49$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2580…0c77backed Yes	10c	355$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3df1…0d19backed Yes	13c	351$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01b4…fbe4backed Yes	12c	346.82$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.95	64	29.7%19 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event