Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12659d726d41c5abf185bfe2c6d24e1ec5375accd6b0184145cf46c53dcfc005

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $313,087
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $255,003

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,087 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	7,454$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.93	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x176b…60f9backed Yes	0c	7,339$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	5,814$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.69	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x382b…7769backed Yes	7c	4,190$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0f…ddfdbacked Yes	6c	3,516$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x774f…8779backed Yes	0c	3,333$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5b…717abacked Yes	6c	3,166$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb8fc…a73ebacked Yes	6c	2,874$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d35…119dbacked Yes	8c	2,699$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ffa…9713backed Yes	6c	2,655$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.99	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bd…2033backed Yes	7c	2,576$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.62	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…bd1abacked Yes	6c	2,573$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8513…de15backed Yes	6c	2,530$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fda…c88ebacked Yes	6c	2,480$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.32	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5469…2aa0backed Yes	6c	2,456$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0893…88b0backed Yes	6c	2,438$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x762a…a42ebacked Yes	6c	2,287$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.93	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaaad…dca0backed Yes	6c	2,221$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x220a…370dbacked Yes	6c	2,014$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4f…038ebacked Yes	6c	1,973$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6290…d310backed Yes	7c	1,966$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…202cbacked Yes	6c	1,912$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.98	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb054…aea4backed Yes	8c	1,903$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06d8…b7febacked Yes	6c	1,899$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,882$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.45	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…2ceebacked Yes	6c	1,866$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d57…4e54backed Yes	10c	1,778$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…755dbacked Yes	6c	1,776$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6983…0727backed Yes	6c	1,750$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x295b…564dbacked Yes	6c	1,582$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3567…9d55backed Yes	7c	1,558$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3184…7f41backed Yes	7c	1,437$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b3…ef7ebacked Yes	6c	1,388$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9993…a6cbbacked Yes	6c	1,367$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.29	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1b…8d7bbacked Yes	6c	1,354$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…eefdbacked Yes	10c	1,351$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe6…1546backed Yes	7c	1,342$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c4c…6acabacked Yes	1c	1,333$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5829…f17ebacked Yes	7c	1,297$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	6c	1,264$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa784…73c0backed Yes	6c	1,260$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c0…3000backed Yes	6c	1,257$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.65	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6030…d09cbacked Yes	4c	1,252$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c7a…c895backed Yes	5c	1,184$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f4…c26cbacked Yes	5c	1,182$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8bf7…295fbacked Yes	6c	1,168$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8185…e770backed Yes	6c	1,167$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x22ab…ad9abacked Yes	5c	1,139$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes	25c	1,058$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcbf…3b98backed Yes	5c	1,050$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	4cpaid	+1,182.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x743e…1bacbacked Yes	5c	1,034$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes	10c	1,029$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-58%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…b5f5backed Yes	5c	989$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4734…85c6backed Yes	5c	983$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf770…ddb9backed Yes	5c	982$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x366b…2bd4backed Yes	6c	957$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf64…89b9backed Yes	5c	946$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c77…2eb1backed Yes	3c	936.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+5.5wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86bd…8935backed Yes	5c	923$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1396…02abbacked Yes	5c	910$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd2…d01cbacked Yes	5c	901$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	6c	892.84$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.89	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x505b…a04dbacked Yes	5c	867$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb16…89e6backed Yes	7c	854$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bae…3630backed Yes	5c	845$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xedab…81a5backed Yes	5c	833$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	807.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.47	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64de…6f76backed Yes	5c	798$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0256…dc3ebacked Yes	7c	781$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac12…7f97backed Yes	4c	768.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd333…531dbacked Yes	5c	762$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	11c	745.22$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.08	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb095…103ebacked Yes	5c	739$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	13c	699.54$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.59	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd7…9551backed Yes	5c	672$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x936a…50bfbacked Yes	7c	630$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8914…0f80backed Yes	2c	592$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	581.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.37	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a1…bb00backed Yes	7c	566$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…ef05backed Yes	8c	557.34$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf76…1a22backed Yes	7c	543$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	516.97$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.64	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	515.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae11…6fa3backed Yes	7c	475$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	7c	470.39$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.57	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x985f…0c24backed Yes	3c	464$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…3b63backed Yes	7c	462$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf98…d0bfbacked Yes	11c	450.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd8a…12c3backed Yes	7c	446$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	9c	437.17$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	8c	357.13$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.7	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3de3…6872backed Yes	7c	347$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	8c	304.76$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.26	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7778…261dbacked Yes	4c	300$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	5c	285.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.63	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7481…82b2backed Yes	6c	275$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6763…b14fbacked Yes	10c	234.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.83	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ed…b45fbacked Yes	6c	231$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+171.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b19…ca35backed Yes	6c	228.56$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32c8…9942backed Yes	9c	220.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event