Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07bb53359333c4c40e509f5a31d8f114eb11f9ecf3bdf93c88abe544c8924b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd902…e2d5backed Yes | 7c | 3,036$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 3c | 2,817$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…7d9fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,690$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e4…4f40backed Yes | 7c | 2,674$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…3599backed Yes | 10c | 2,362$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a9bcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,336$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0057…43c6backed Yes | 10c | 2,322$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…34fbbacked Yes | 9c | 2,250$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…13c3backed Yes | 7c | 2,219$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…0adebacked Yes | 10c | 2,154$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…639ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,145$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…4b32backed Yes | 10c | 2,015$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf286…01e7backed Yes | 7c | 1,913$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc28…4014backed Yes | 10c | 1,825$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…ced4backed Yes | 7c | 1,814$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…1072backed Yes | 7c | 1,791$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…456ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,702$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…0a9bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,688$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…9f4bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,633$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1c…ed69backed Yes | 6c | 1,625$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…1473backed Yes | 7c | 1,616$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e50…a0a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,606$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…a18ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,586$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…e97dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,573$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2f…634ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,493$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…b6b2backed Yes | 8c | 1,471$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…8738backed Yes | 8c | 1,465$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505b…a04dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,464$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfc…7e1cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,329$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e76…1955backed Yes | 7c | 1,319$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…c5d4backed Yes | 8c | 1,295$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…2089backed Yes | 8c | 1,119$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…6a7cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,094$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…85c6backed Yes | 8c | 1,071$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…8716backed Yes | 8c | 1,064$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518a…e507backed Yes | 7c | 1,054$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce5…d02fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,046$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aed…3848backed Yes | 8c | 1,022$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…8c5ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,002$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes | 9c | 964.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -58%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…98b6backed Yes | 7c | 952$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…1eabbacked Yes | 8c | 945$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d0…425abacked Yes | 8c | 938$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes | 11c | 908.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…aababacked Yes | 8c | 901$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec99…f750backed Yes | 8c | 827$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b1…396abacked Yes | 7c | 824$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a3…66f8backed Yes | 10c | 822$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e86…03b5backed Yes | 8c | 817$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a613backed Yes | 7c | 806$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c02backed Yes | 10c | 786$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…16d9backed Yes | 8c | 775$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…96bbbacked Yes | 10c | 771$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…3637backed Yes | 10c | 745$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…e969backed Yes | 10c | 734$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a44…cc54backed Yes | 10c | 721$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 7cpaid | +258.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2040backed Yes | 6c | 718$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…ef05backed Yes | 10c | 713.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae3…5c8abacked Yes | 8c | 709$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…a58bbacked Yes | 8c | 703$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db8…55bdbacked Yes | 10c | 702$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…3016backed Yes | 6c | 701$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…f7c9backed Yes | 7c | 700$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936a…50bfbacked Yes | 8c | 694$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…cf99backed Yes | 8c | 693$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…233ebacked Yes | 10c | 693$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…038ebacked Yes | 6c | 690$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…54f4backed Yes | 7c | 688$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…c8cdbacked Yes | 8c | 658$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 7cpaid | +283.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…b915backed Yes | 6c | 648$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 5c | 621.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 135 | 13.3%18 W · 117 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 605.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…5d8ebacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d0…3802backed Yes | 7c | 591$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 5c | 545.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…d581backed Yes | 10c | 524.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 509.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…76f1backed Yes | 8c | 502$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…1218backed Yes | 7c | 485.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…f0a4backed Yes | 10c | 478$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac12…7f97backed Yes | 11c | 461.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3115…043ebacked Yes | 10c | 445$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…1e6bbacked Yes | 10c | 438$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 6c | 424.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…6e23backed Yes | 7c | 404$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76b…e02abacked Yes | 7c | 399.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 108 | 6.5%7 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb066…9a1cbacked Yes | 7c | 390$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 372.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ad…2244backed Yes | 10c | 351$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e56…90f8backed Yes | 4c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +471.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e07abacked Yes | 4c | 322.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 781 | 11.3%88 W · 693 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…b45fbacked Yes | 10c | 313$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497f…43e4backed Yes | 6c | 308.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes | 10c | 280.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…4e54backed Yes | 7c | 280$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…440ebacked Yes | 6c | 269.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 211 | 6.6%14 W · 197 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf454…6fdfbacked Yes | 8c | 214$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…b14fbacked Yes | 9c | 211.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…e90fbacked Yes | 8c | 202$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a43…71afbacked Yes | 8c | 184$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.