Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ded9738af1bda018e31c11e35796a2267b502aee17629829cf757425aeaaa81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,282,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,282,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 0c | 48,689$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 129 | 0.8%1 W · 128 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +675.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Yes | 0c | 48,658$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 47 | 0%0 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ca…7f86backed Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…1edebacked Yes | 0c | 23,395$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c2…611bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,395$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ef…0607backed Yes | 0c | 23,395$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…0575backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…4c68backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…9291backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…d305backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…20dcbacked Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…3cf8backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2981…9e61backed Yes | 0c | 23,394$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc6…80c9backed Yes | 0c | 23,348$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13e…d47dbacked Yes | 0c | 23,348$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…2e63backed Yes | 0c | 23,348$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…15b2backed Yes | 0c | 23,348$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebe…81b7backed Yes | 0c | 23,348$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…8019backed Yes | 0c | 23,348$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e10…e35abacked Yes | 0c | 23,220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe536…b501backed Yes | 0c | 23,160$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…1860backed Yes | 0c | 22,894$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…6483backed Yes | 0c | 22,894$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb0…d489backed Yes | 0c | 22,894$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…c3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,894$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb827…664abacked Yes | 0c | 22,795$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…430cbacked Yes | 0c | 22,395$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…d0a1backed Yes | 0c | 22,348$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…5101backed Yes | 0c | 16,617$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…cd2abacked Yes | 0c | 15,168$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe44…d604backed Yes | 0c | 15,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…ee88backed Yes | 0c | 15,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b33…c174backed Yes | 0c | 15,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a94…ecdcbacked Yes | 0c | 15,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da4…30efbacked Yes | 0c | 15,134$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c2…b38fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,088$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…0138backed Yes | 0c | 15,088$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…36cbbacked Yes | 0c | 15,088$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…5630backed Yes | 0c | 15,088$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…35adbacked Yes | 0c | 15,029$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…1a41backed Yes | 0c | 14,710$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02de…6469backed Yes | 0c | 14,634$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…38a7backed Yes | 0c | 14,634$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a74…f4bdbacked Yes | 0c | 14,634$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d3…da39backed Yes | 0c | 14,634$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…8bcfbacked Yes | 0c | 14,535$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f06…73c7backed Yes | 0c | 14,136$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…8cd4backed Yes | 0c | 14,135$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…476fbacked Yes | 0c | 14,088$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81db…2f49backed Yes | 0c | 13,634$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x184e…7984backed Yes | 0c | 12,109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 4,318$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 1c | 2,229$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 1c | 1,541$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…fff4backed Yes | 1c | 1,253$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…745dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,233$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…8d5bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,050$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…52a0backed Yes | 1c | 921$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7739…55c9backed Yes | 1c | 836$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes | 5c | 342.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 87 | 12.6%11 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.