Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0affde2f50ad7712d5d20d36587c6aa2dd80305482b51f1ac91b1d2425a875f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d60…4c5ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,064$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…6382backed Yes | 3c | 2,732$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd9…39bfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,636$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…68e4backed Yes | 3c | 2,332$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…9262backed Yes | 3c | 2,249$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…4404backed Yes | 3c | 1,908$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…5b40backed Yes | 3c | 1,827$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…4695backed Yes | 1c | 1,715$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc14…95e1backed Yes | 3c | 1,662$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b6…32f8backed Yes | 3c | 1,581$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…d1cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,554$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…2754backed Yes | 3c | 1,515$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc588…979bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,496$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a7…4d60backed Yes | 3c | 1,482$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…477cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,469$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…ccccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,462$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…71d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,443$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…dc89backed Yes | 4c | 1,426$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…a6c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,403$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…18cfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 3c | 1,288$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…0d4fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…ba48backed Yes | 3c | 1,129$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…b96bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…20a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc07…d2f4backed Yes | 4c | 1,112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4c…a9eebacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…c172backed Yes | 4c | 1,061$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…3c43backed Yes | 4c | 1,053$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…d35fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,047$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…3a14backed Yes | 4c | 1,046$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…bcecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,042$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…19d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,026$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4288…4f37backed Yes | 4c | 1,023$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…11bdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,022$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…d747backed Yes | 4c | 1,013$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…6fa8backed Yes | 3c | 988$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f812backed Yes | 3c | 871$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…a390backed Yes | 3c | 821$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5682…9114backed Yes | 3c | 693$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…f141backed Yes | 3c | 688$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6ebfbacked Yes | 3c | 666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…40cdbacked Yes | 2c | 646.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1339…3c5dbacked Yes | 3c | 642$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 2c | 635.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 70 | 4.3%3 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 3c | 628.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 63 | 9.5%6 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…ff7bbacked Yes | 3c | 610$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 3c | 609.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…6761backed Yes | 3c | 609.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 8cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b1…b447backed Yes | 3c | 556$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd9…abeabacked Yes | 3c | 517$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e67…df10backed Yes | 3c | 498$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2987…19a7backed Yes | 3c | 489$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…33fcbacked Yes | 3c | 487$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f91…0a5fbacked Yes | 3c | 478$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e8…cf6fbacked Yes | 3c | 330$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.