Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1caa8002c5f57e3db50a2c433c73bd9d367b183eba94e65cd6b6678cba2492a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 11,771$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 350 | 24%84 W · 266 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 8,018$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 328 | 1.2%4 W · 324 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…62d5backed Yes | 10c | 5,031$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 2c | 4,750$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…96bbbacked Yes | 10c | 4,596$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…55aabacked Yes | 10c | 3,890$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…8823backed Yes | 8c | 3,678$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fc…7d75backed Yes | 6c | 3,548$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb519…481bbacked Yes | 8c | 3,281$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…b33ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,111$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345a…1ae5backed Yes | 10c | 3,060$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035c…f375backed Yes | 10c | 3,006$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…69bbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,780$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x626b…be00backed Yes | 9c | 2,671$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c81…edb5backed Yes | 6c | 2,586$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ff…3851backed Yes | 9c | 2,547$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…6c02backed Yes | 12c | 2,535$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…3e17backed Yes | 10c | 2,479$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…f661backed Yes | 10c | 2,413$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…e90fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,405$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…5b40backed Yes | 11c | 2,356$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ef…a53fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,356$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…c882backed Yes | 10c | 2,335$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,330$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…941ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,310$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d8…0473backed Yes | 8c | 2,280$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…a728backed Yes | 9c | 2,249$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80f…f6e3backed Yes | 11c | 2,222$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…27e0backed Yes | 6c | 2,206$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…29a7backed Yes | 11c | 2,137$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b1…b447backed Yes | 9c | 2,105$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc6…dbf1backed Yes | 9c | 2,083$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2a…39e0backed Yes | 10c | 2,074$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…c578backed Yes | 11c | 2,071$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +171.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…395bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,059$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…7497backed Yes | 9c | 2,047$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…f7b8backed Yes | 12c | 2,034$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +449.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fef…fe37backed Yes | 9c | 2,034$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…7fb4backed Yes | 10c | 2,027$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12f…9810backed Yes | 10c | 1,982$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3782…6e25backed Yes | 10c | 1,977$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 11cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa036…0b7ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,923$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc6…e3d8backed Yes | 10c | 1,905$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c2…c1e6backed Yes | 11c | 1,874$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…0dbabacked Yes | 10c | 1,867$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…d269backed Yes | 10c | 1,838$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…c8fabacked Yes | 6c | 1,816$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…8c5ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,808$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…a630backed Yes | 12c | 1,802$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…1de9backed Yes | 12c | 1,799$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d10…6fedbacked Yes | 10c | 1,787$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41a…8921backed Yes | 12c | 1,786$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…040fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,785$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…d057backed Yes | 8c | 1,781$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197e…c5abbacked Yes | 9c | 1,769$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…4594backed Yes | 10c | 1,767$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c8…f5bdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,765$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…1cfcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,696$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…6fa8backed Yes | 7c | 1,691$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…4fa5backed Yes | 9c | 1,669$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…b7c5backed Yes | 10c | 1,668$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…e07bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,649$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf667…2c66backed Yes | 8c | 1,617$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…17bcbacked Yes | 8c | 1,568$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…8844backed Yes | 10c | 1,551$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…ccccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,481$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…5d67backed Yes | 9c | 1,438$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…53c3backed Yes | 7c | 1,388$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddb…14c2backed Yes | 9c | 1,387$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…c227backed Yes | 12c | 1,361$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…df95backed Yes | 9c | 1,360$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d7…10edbacked Yes | 5c | 1,307$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…ac1bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,285$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094c…76c3backed Yes | 10c | 1,278$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…4421backed Yes | 9c | 1,260$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…54f4backed Yes | 8c | 1,229$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…f038backed Yes | 9c | 1,228$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…7d9fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,224$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…738abacked Yes | 9c | 1,209$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…4df7backed Yes | 9c | 1,203$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae08…c9f2backed Yes | 10c | 1,201$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…9c87backed Yes | 8c | 1,179$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…57febacked Yes | 9c | 1,125$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…72f0backed Yes | 9c | 1,105$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,091$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,038 | 11.1%115 W · 923 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…52a0backed Yes | 5c | 1,088$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…2192backed Yes | 9c | 1,085$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1d…fecebacked Yes | 9c | 1,075$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…a163backed Yes | 9c | 1,073$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…9a16backed Yes | 10c | 1,071$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 1,051$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 691 | 5.5%38 W · 653 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…4ee6backed Yes | 9c | 1,048$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…d959backed Yes | 9c | 1,047$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…a7c5backed Yes | 11c | 1,044$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…9262backed Yes | 9c | 1,038$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…fd95backed Yes | 9c | 1,020$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…8716backed Yes | 5c | 1,004$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…e0eebacked Yes | 9c | 997$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758c…8707backed Yes | 10c | 993$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf758…82b3backed Yes | 9c | 984$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1440-1479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1520-1559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1600-1679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1680-1759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 1920-1999 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in April 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.