Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd59908cc19b1bbd5fdac8499e6f3976eba5dadbcae3f832ce11f3b5a57b978d3

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $132,446
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $94,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,446 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x100a…b850backed Yes	3c	2,669$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.06	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…7e9bbacked Yes	3c	2,626$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…7e98backed Yes	3c	2,520$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+354.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x801d…589ebacked Yes	2c	1,624$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b00…6515backed Yes	3c	1,475$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	1,437$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bed…b829backed Yes	3c	1,358$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	7cpaid	+129.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…faabbacked Yes	3c	1,266$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4054…2e57backed Yes	3c	1,244$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe178…a163backed Yes	3c	1,213$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e56…90f8backed Yes	1c	1,200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	3cpaid	+471.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa783…cb29backed Yes	3c	1,118$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2eda…0425backed Yes	2c	982$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+443.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…ff9abacked Yes	2c	974.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	87	12.6%11 W · 76 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3815…4b24backed Yes	2c	968$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6193…6b2fbacked Yes	2c	962$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c0…3000backed Yes	2c	944$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e4f…f394backed Yes	2c	870$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a53…5510backed Yes	3c	863$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55f2…ccddbacked Yes	3c	860$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27d6…ddcdbacked Yes	2c	851$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e2…c5d4backed Yes	2c	842$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6946…e73bbacked Yes	2c	833$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x273d…f4ffbacked Yes	3c	818$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ff…7427backed Yes	3c	807$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x407a…6585backed Yes	2c	794$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.06	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+168.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ee…b041backed Yes	3c	773$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…60e2backed Yes	2c	772$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc6…e3d8backed Yes	3c	761$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x626b…be00backed Yes	3c	756$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb808…ef66backed Yes	3c	709$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	697.58$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	2c	662.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70dd…18cfbacked Yes	3c	657$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a15…e2e5backed Yes	3c	635$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	2c	621.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf454…6fdfbacked Yes	3c	621$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4aa…ba4abacked Yes	3c	617$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.43	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+449.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f9f…90aebacked Yes	3c	591$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…798ebacked Yes	2c	588$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe94f…d6e5backed Yes	3c	583$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3f8b…cdf9backed Yes	2c	577$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x490d…b563backed Yes	3c	572$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.45	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1b…4e64backed Yes	2c	489$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3100…2014backed Yes	3c	430$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c32…f79bbacked Yes	3c	393$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1760-1839 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event