Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe77e4af2509b9c8f350650ec073a32e7b7cc20a6b8269b21068a7061dda1acbf

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $220,990
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $172,970

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,990 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	6,946$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.29	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f4…0ef9backed Yes	7c	3,978$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	2,743$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.86	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2f…da4cbacked Yes	7c	2,621$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b3…1a2dbacked Yes	6c	2,394$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f7…222fbacked Yes	6c	2,261$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…d7bdbacked Yes	7c	2,092$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf4b2…82e1backed Yes	6c	2,084$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58d7…e149backed Yes	6c	2,083$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7958…8c65backed Yes	5c	1,993$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a2…d941backed Yes	1c	1,853$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc950…b7c4backed Yes	4c	1,766$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc3…d28cbacked Yes	4c	1,758$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19a1…7342backed Yes	6c	1,688$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69d3…81c5backed Yes	4c	1,680$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb991…ce30backed Yes	7c	1,648$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f12…74f8backed Yes	7c	1,631$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab3f…c097backed Yes	7c	1,538$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.58	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	9c	1,451$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.98	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefd…98dcbacked Yes	5c	1,354$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x628a…2971backed Yes	7c	1,351$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c5…fd7ebacked Yes	4c	1,335$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	7cpaid	+262.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc361…1627backed Yes	7c	1,200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	6c	1,180$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.31	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c4a…de4dbacked Yes	5c	1,154$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd7bd…2033backed Yes	7c	1,122$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…f463backed Yes	7c	1,114$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ffa…9713backed Yes	6c	1,035$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…eb28backed Yes	7c	1,027$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	6c	1,021$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.23	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…202cbacked Yes	6c	1,003$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d10…6fedbacked Yes	3c	967$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.01	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3815…4b24backed Yes	3c	960$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4200…2729backed Yes	3c	958$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…ef05backed Yes	7c	952.98$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.51	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…5eddbacked Yes	7c	944$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac0b…d5bebacked Yes	3c	943$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b1…8c7ebacked Yes	7c	941$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1de5…c5dfbacked Yes	5c	938$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca46…9203backed Yes	7c	903$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…a79bbacked Yes	9c	876.62$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.62	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bae…3630backed Yes	3c	863$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xedab…81a5backed Yes	3c	863$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.89	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f5…878dbacked Yes	8c	859$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a0f…d9a9backed Yes	6c	827$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.27	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa490…bf7ebacked Yes	13c	823.53$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	59	10.2%6 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd64…0a9bbacked Yes	5c	814$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.96	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6230…d6c3backed Yes	3c	810$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.3	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	6cpaid	+443.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes	11c	807.58$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-58%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb963…b312backed Yes	6c	805$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5d6…3c06backed Yes	5c	804$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee58…4f9abacked Yes	6c	769$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	768.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.52	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4802…ae3ebacked Yes	7c	768$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7df…c3edbacked Yes	8c	768$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2417…c8cdbacked Yes	3c	765$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	7cpaid	+283.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc28…4014backed Yes	3c	750$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x56bd…dee9backed Yes	8c	730$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.75	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5279…5aabbacked Yes	5c	728$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683f…27dbbacked Yes	6c	676$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	637.21$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	636.25$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.58	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b54…34ebbacked Yes	6c	625$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	8cpaid	+455.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a4…8c7bbacked Yes	6c	618$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.08	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	7cpaid	+171.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b99…fe54backed Yes	6c	612$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	2c	591.04$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce7…9135backed Yes	6c	591$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c9…56fbbacked Yes	7c	557$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes	6c	501.15$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.92	63	9.5%6 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c5…3a78backed Yes	5c	501$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3b…5638backed Yes	7c	491$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb129…4764backed Yes	10c	487.96$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x35b8…2ccabacked Yes	3c	479.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed Yes	5c	454.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.49	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bbc…62acbacked Yes	3c	427$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5df…d691backed Yes	7c	426$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x127a…bd94backed Yes	6c	399$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	6c	374.94$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.99	175	6.9%12 W · 163 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b5…0d7bbacked Yes	7c	371$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	359.27$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	7c	322.54$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.28	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	10c	312.04$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.32	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675f…519bbacked Yes	13c	300$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe76b…e02abacked Yes	6c	295.64$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.43	108	6.5%7 W · 101 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d6…b98ebacked Yes	7c	286$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	12c	283.31$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.43	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d91…f592backed Yes	11c	282$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.56	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd80e…9cd7backed Yes	11c	279$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes	11c	273.15$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb1…4e87backed Yes	11c	271$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	265.45$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.76	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6763…b14fbacked Yes	10c	265.4$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Yes	4c	264.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	19%11 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1b…8d7bbacked Yes	7c	256$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	216.46$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.97	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b2e…41eabacked Yes	6c	215.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	136	14.7%20 W · 116 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61b5…e9d9backed Yes	8c	214.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.66	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32c8…9942backed Yes	10c	203.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	7c	200.35$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74e2…4bb3backed Yes	11c	200$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event