Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bb69d7e07568794a6042b4666ab66a7f397edbf970400dfac8a15c82205e1d

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $473,141
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $416,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,141 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed No	73c	12,166$8,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,319.69	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	24c	5,426$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,311.54	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb86…1a3abacked Yes	27c	5,285$1,414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,414.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	4,290$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557.17	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…ac40backed Yes	3c	3,955$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.56	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57dc…414bbacked Yes	27c	3,900$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.63	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	26c	3,773$989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.65	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	24c	3,676$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.13	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0489…ddf7backed Yes	18c	3,375$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.06	199	27.6%55 W · 144 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Yes	27c	3,046$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x408f…cd18backed Yes	4c	2,824$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.31	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b99…a649backed Yes	4c	2,533$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f17…1da4backed Yes	4c	2,333$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x80bb…f038backed Yes	4c	2,164$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.23	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…5a82backed Yes	3c	2,092$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb39d…7a6dbacked Yes	27c	2,020$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$551.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	27c	2,000$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	15c	2,000$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.5	426	28.2%120 W · 306 L	-38.2wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c06…a1c1backed Yes	27c	1,963$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x877b…bcecbacked Yes	4c	1,957$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8257…da02backed Yes	26c	1,903$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.68	127	45.7%58 W · 69 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97fc…229ebacked Yes	22c	1,858$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.51	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf418…2990backed Yes	27c	1,853$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3feb…b1a1backed Yes	4c	1,842$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52bf…840fbacked Yes	4c	1,837$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.81	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	7cpaid	+380.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd6…871bbacked Yes	4c	1,703$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…9913backed Yes	27c	1,662$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	5c	1,616$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.64	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8121…c0c5backed Yes	27c	1,594$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988f…d86fbacked Yes	3c	1,541$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4beb…52a0backed Yes	4c	1,530$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.73	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5fbd…1c65backed Yes	3c	1,498$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x577b…1be3backed Yes	4c	1,437$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa3d…be75backed No	80c	1,390$1,108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c37…1241backed No	76c	1,389$1,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.58	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad7f…d0d4backed Yes	27c	1,380$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8718…157ebacked Yes	4c	1,335$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No	79c	1,312$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.57	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefd…ff7bbacked Yes	3c	1,288$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.49	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e3…59d8backed Yes	4c	1,271$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1429…83a8backed No	79c	1,248$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeacd…f141backed Yes	3c	1,226$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	27c	1,217$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.83	169	45%76 W · 93 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86bc…835fbacked Yes	4c	1,212$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…ccccbacked Yes	3c	1,201$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.43	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	1,191$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.47	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc075…bd46backed Yes	4c	1,162$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda2e…1f19backed Yes	3c	1,150$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	8c	1,150$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.95	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd9…abeabacked Yes	3c	1,147$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3884…4a9cbacked Yes	9c	919.16$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1e…8562backed Yes	26c	916$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x138a…6a8ebacked Yes	3c	858$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa191…9e9bbacked No	71c	851$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.94	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5999…83cabacked Yes	18c	823.12$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.1	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…323cbacked Yes	3c	808$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.86	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe95c…c1e1backed Yes	6c	796.3$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d6c…6303backed Yes	3c	794$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	14c	780.61$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.8	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe178…a163backed Yes	3c	776$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ff…de9ebacked Yes	25c	746$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb461…c9e0backed Yes	3c	717$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	22c	700.15$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.22	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes	20c	691.56$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.49	70	4.3%3 W · 67 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cd0…e127backed Yes	26c	674$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45ea…d81dbacked No	75c	644$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+34%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…978abacked Yes	19c	624$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb3…955dbacked Yes	21c	613$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6371…28adbacked Yes	21c	607$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8589…4f12backed Yes	28c	596$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.48	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+309.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7829…076ebacked Yes	10c	590$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.23	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.34per pick	16cpaid	+132%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffa…3187backed Yes	29c	590$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4de…aa16backed Yes	27c	585$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaff…6a8bbacked Yes	27c	581$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a6…bcf4backed Yes	29c	576$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x313b…1abfbacked No	78c	570$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.54	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…df7dbacked Yes	27c	567$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	10c	566.19$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.94	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03dd…cdc4backed Yes	24c	566$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…5538backed Yes	27c	564$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bb…c91bbacked Yes	27c	563$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd73…5b5abacked Yes	22c	557$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ec…4c46backed Yes	27c	555$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7045…0494backed Yes	4c	550.6$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4854…49d3backed No	77c	549$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926e…f755backed Yes	28c	542$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c9…494abacked Yes	27c	541$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…ecfcbacked No	72c	541$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a08…2239backed Yes	27c	540$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+82.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	15c	538.69$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.31	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	4c	538.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.64	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	9c	538.3$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.73	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe98…6dd7backed Yes	21c	538$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf11…ca42backed Yes	23c	538$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4260…204fbacked Yes	27c	537$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f4f…f788backed Yes	21c	529$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1158…8488backed Yes	29c	528$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.54	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a9…99cdbacked Yes	28c	524$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff05…86e6backed Yes	20c	518$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a5…dd19backed Yes	20c	518$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.05	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+594.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 58 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event