TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8444…1cf9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
974
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
27

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst IPO at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT28737.6%108 W · 179 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 287 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$98.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$51.09
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+130.4%+$96.2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60%+$18.74
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$66.6
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.5
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.79
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+94.9%+$19.48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$39.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.87
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.68
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$62.5
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+182%+$19.06
Showing 25 of 287 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13624.3%33 W · 103 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$362.07
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will XRP reach $1.20 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,851.45
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$551.16
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,675Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,674.83
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+194.7%+$68.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 15-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT8929.2%26 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$117.6
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.41
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+382.5%+$1,125.26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$130.98
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+164.2%+$63
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.79
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.51
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+309.1%+$642.25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$45.88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.87
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$32.97
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT8339.8%33 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$45.54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$25.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$16.04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.76
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+174%+$69.43
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.8
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.98
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$58.01
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$51.5
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$35
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$93.05
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.46
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$53.62
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.3
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+253.6%+$557.92
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$73
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$171.31
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 22?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$53.4
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 22?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8142%34 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.28
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.49
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.61
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$17.2
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$43.6
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$178.92
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$12.9
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$68.8
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+37%+$75.6
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49%+$308.94
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+282.5%+$434.94
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$69
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+293.3%+$104.39
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.58
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.17
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.41
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT4839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.36
Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.8
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$11.54
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.17
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.84
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$28.9
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$50.07
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$41.62
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+93%+$71.72
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$36.57
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$442.68
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.4
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.7
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$85.7
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+155.6%+$336.97
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.99
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$17.25
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$49.95
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$33.4
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$99.48
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$48.37
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1480+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$15.88
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+88.1%+$144.91
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$66
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.89
Will Apple announce a standalone Siri app during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$109.6
Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $225M?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $3.40 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.19
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $21.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $22.5B?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 600.0k by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 650.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+218.5%+$68.6
Will Claude Code Commits hit (HIGH) 700.0k by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$93.6
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+142.7%+$58.8
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$61.35
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.8
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.99
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$85.74
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$59.61
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.77
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$40.69
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Officebacked The Devil Wears Prada 2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.03
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.9
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.68
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$17.95
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.47
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.17
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.54
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$107.2
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
IPOlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
IPO — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.59
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.9
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.83
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Will Mark Juncosa be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will Brian Bjelde be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.2
Will X Æ A-Xii be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$26.8
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.99
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$158
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Will Luke Nosek be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.26
Will Bret Johnsen be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$46.17
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$21.2
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2.25B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.02
Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$93.3
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.85
Will EagleRock's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.75
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $8.5B and $10.0B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.79
Will Fervo Energy's market cap be between $7.0B and $8.5B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.2
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+76.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$59.94
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$12.77
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.82
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.83
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.63
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.66
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.22
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$42.78
Will Australia win the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$263.94
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+214.9%+$77.84
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$70.8
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+1,383.4%+$314.29
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+1,462.5%+$430.56
Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.13
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.47
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.87
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.33
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$367
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$27.6
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+441.4%+$1,166.73
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.48
Will Susie Lee be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+577%+$213.07
Will John Peterson be the Republican nominee for SC-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+852.4%+$179
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Will Peter Verbica advance from the CA-19 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will Lawrence Poster be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.18
Will Mayes Middleton win the Texas Republican primary runoff for Attorney General?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Cherlynn Stevenson be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$51.13
Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.28
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.76
Will Matt Pinnell replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.86
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$98.4
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.81
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.32
Will the number of US flights delayed on April 4 be between 5,000 and 5,500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.45
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.23
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.55
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.64
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.37
Will less than 5000 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+939.4%+$300.72
Will between 6000-6500 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.08
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will there be a double Breen “Bang” during the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+227.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+332.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+332.8%+$82.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. Cheddybacked John · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$45.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$7.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serena Williams Win Return Doubles Match at HSBC Championships?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.