Us Midterms · resolved market
Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d13d2a10ec0b274933faed1eab8e3b08475d43573a832ee638b775485c1d32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 24c | 2,536$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.36 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed No | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed Yes | 20c | 1,814$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 76c | 1,693$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.21 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed No | 78c | 987.01$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 21c | 927.62$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.41 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 80c | 744$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed No | 80c | 681$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…399abacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x518d…3b83backed No | 74c | 596.07$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d068backed Yes | 38c | 524.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 32c | 505$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 494.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.43 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…ee03backed No | 74c | 485.01$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 23c | 459.79$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.87 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 75c | 432.12$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.71 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 6c | 424.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,539.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 80c | 389$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 77c | 333.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 73c | 331.79$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274e…648cbacked Yes | 23c | 327.25$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.8 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 27c | 303.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.83 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…9e62backed Yes | 20c | 280.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 254.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 28c | 250.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.07 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 226.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 9c | 177.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes | 32c | 173.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…cc03backed Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.65 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 79c | 150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…b5acbacked No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 69c | 142$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed No | 79c | 126.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…dfc4backed Yes | 21c | 126$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +369.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…19d2backed Yes | 26c | 120$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…a1a0backed Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +371.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6be…5ef7backed Yes | 24c | 112$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +321.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 71c | 109.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc940…75f0backed Yes | 22c | 109$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 22cpaid | +365.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…2803backed Yes | 24c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +318%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738f…ba83backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…c04fbacked Yes | 24c | 98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…fc5abacked Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +210.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…015abacked Yes | 24c | 94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +319.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 93.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…7f63backed Yes | 22c | 93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +360.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 83.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…2cffbacked Yes | 27c | 78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 67.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 23c | 64.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 166 | 32.5%54 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 29c | 62.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 17c | 61.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 27c | 60.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…a6c1backed Yes | 30c | 56.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed1…4d3bbacked No | 76c | 54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abc…52cabacked Yes | 30c | 53.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 74c | 51.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…602bbacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…3f36backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…3071backed Yes | 25c | 49.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 74c | 49.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2d…0a11backed No | 79c | 49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587a…87ebbacked No | 79c | 47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…45dbbacked No | 76c | 47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 25c | 45.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…b135backed No | 79c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…6e12backed No | 79c | 42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb039…6ed4backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79d…11ebbacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 38.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…04aabacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…6342backed No | 79c | 36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 29c | 35.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x686d…1a68backed Yes | 29c | 34.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…0720backed No | 80c | 34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c5…681ebacked No | 76c | 34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 76c | 33.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…d0f5backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…30febacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…8eb2backed No | 76c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 76c | 30.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 76c | 30.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…ecf7backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…abbbbacked No | 79c | 29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…b1ddbacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…0b5dbacked No | 76c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe52…bdb3backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…98bdbacked No | 76c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e7…0575backed No | 79c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…9a82backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0321backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?this page
- Will Anabel Mendoza be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Anthony Driver Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will David Ehrlich be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Felix Tello be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Jason Friedman be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Jazmin Robinson be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Kina Collins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Reed Showalter be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Richard Boykin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Rory Hoskins be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
- Will Thomas Fisher be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.