TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e3e…0959

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Commodities, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 55 out of 100; worst Movies at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-65.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.3
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72.24
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$59.2
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$308.64
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$126.96
Will Vow of Silence: The Assassination of Annie Mae win Best New Non-Scripted or Documentary Series at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$126.15
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$109.72
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$389.4
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$311.22
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63.48
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.97
Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$158.95
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$105.78
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.64
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$188.37
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.05
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.7
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+420.8%+$239.17
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$521.87
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$237.14
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$110.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.52
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$251.94
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$89.28
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.2%+$78.32
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$322.88
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$39.52
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$141.44
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$184
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$25.9
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.68
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$129.12
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45.14
Will "Audit" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$129.38
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+270.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$1,046.32
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$212.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$25.2
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$78.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$62.04
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+163.2%+$55.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$109.75
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benfica advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$358.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$48.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$491.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$65.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$39.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$32.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$197.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $35B and $45B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$129.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.