Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d83a47cc466f18d10081dbb3fc2e2f2159bcbb79ef3644f59101575d0227d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3de…5339backed Yes | 11c | 1,400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 11c | 1,389$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,101$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…41f6backed Yes | 11c | 991$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 11c | 668.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +301.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 11c | 564$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 5c | 252.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 79c | 215.34$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 6c | 160.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 18c | 106.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 21c | 101.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 52.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 51.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…0cd1backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 79c | 40.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hazem SC win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.