Stocks · resolved market
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4c934c828b5e200642a60d9615462bd7792db585a44bc20250483dd9d291df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc58…f6e4backed Yes | 8c | 11,230$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 27c | 1,822$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 23c | 1,452$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked No | 73c | 1,322$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +384.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 27c | 1,238$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 74c | 1,174$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,123$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f6…bb1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,103$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 23c | 1,102$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 27c | 1,010$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…75b7backed Yes | 26c | 959$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 26c | 954$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 25c | 934$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 27c | 927$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked No | 77c | 914$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 77c | 913$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 22c | 894$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 73c | 893$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 73c | 884$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +353.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 73c | 819$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…cb02backed Yes | 26c | 798$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 25c | 778$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 73c | 732$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 26c | 731$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e08…7e2ebacked Yes | 25c | 719$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked Yes | 25c | 704$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 78c | 682$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +165%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…5f6abacked Yes | 22c | 666$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 75c | 655$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes | 13c | 645$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed Yes | 25c | 627$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 74c | 619$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +149.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 74c | 619$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 74c | 611$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 26c | 610$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed No | 73c | 592$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 74c | 587$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 27c | 581$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 26c | 578$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 13c | 575$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked Yes | 26c | 574$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked No | 74c | 570$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +352.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 27c | 520$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 27c | 519$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed No | 75c | 518$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked No | 73c | 511$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 7c | 507.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 73c | 471$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 73c | 467$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 78c | 465$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 75c | 464$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +351.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 75c | 457$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 78c | 455$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +348.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed No | 74c | 447$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 75c | 441$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +344.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 26c | 430$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 73c | 426$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa27…d1d3backed No | 74c | 418$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed No | 75c | 418$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed Yes | 13c | 415$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 12cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 74c | 411$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked No | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 75c | 386$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Yes | 26c | 385$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed No | 75c | 379$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +323.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 26c | 378$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked No | 75c | 377$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed Yes | 25c | 365$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 73c | 360$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed No | 75c | 359$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed No | 76c | 359$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +351.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 26c | 355$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 20cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 22c | 345$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 45c | 342.22$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes | 26c | 335$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 26c | 335$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc0…fab9backed No | 73c | 327$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked No | 77c | 324$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +349.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 73c | 318$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 73c | 313$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked Yes | 26c | 311$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ed…ecf7backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed No | 74c | 289$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 77c | 286$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +349.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes | 27c | 286$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 73c | 286$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked No | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed No | 74c | 277$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168e…aa56backed Yes | 26c | 275$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed No | 73c | 266$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 27c | 262$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed Yes | 13c | 262$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 27c | 258$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +258%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Yes | 25c | 256$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?this page
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in February 2026?No won
- Will Bitcoin outperform NVIDIA (NVDA) in February 2026?No won
- Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.