TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72ed…ecf7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$643Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$643
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.09
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$298
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$123
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$161.3
Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$247
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+203%+$469
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+220.7%+$1,623.97
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Football.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$35.84
Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$62.17
Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$208.6
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+120.1%+$190.98
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+58.7%+$185
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$171
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+614.3%+$258
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$130
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$84.9
Kinetiq FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$153
All 24 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$444.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+270.4%+$109.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111
Will Leeds United win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$114
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.