NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x606485f36ee8324a48c6197da724cceee53a13b0a294f084102dd04633dfa3a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,312,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,304,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,312,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Celtics | 0c | 239,122$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.58 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucks | 22c | 75,370$16,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,659.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Celtics | 79c | 60,127$47,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,500 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 21c | 29,463$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,275.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Celtics | 79c | 26,157$20,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,604.19 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bucks | 22c | 25,785$5,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,148.68 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks | 21c | 20,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 24c | 19,110$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,587.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 23c | 17,286$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,279.63 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 22c | 15,360$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,980.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics | 77c | 15,000$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,550 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bucks | 21c | 15,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.71 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Celtics | 78c | 12,821$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Bucks | 22c | 12,750$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,945 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 37c | 12,728$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000.53 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Celtics | 75c | 11,431$8,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,596.56 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics | 66c | 10,794$7,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Bucks | 20c | 9,243$1,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,348.4 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Celtics | 1c | 8,663$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 21c | 8,007$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.61 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bucks | 25c | 7,122$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.04 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 19c | 6,374$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,178.47 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Bucks | 23c | 5,874$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,523.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c9…7878backed Celtics | 77c | 5,764$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.59 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks | 21c | 5,714$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.29 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Bucks | 15c | 5,514$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,672.73 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 26c | 5,503$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.3 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…a33ebacked Celtics | 78c | 5,500$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 75c | 5,294$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.26 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Celtics | 56c | 5,220$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.48 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 78c | 5,190$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,048.29 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 24c | 5,050$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,838 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Bucks | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Celtics | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Bucks | 15c | 4,851$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.15 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Celtics | 79c | 4,684$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd65d…a9e6backed Celtics | 76c | 4,335$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294.6 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 24c | 4,304$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.49 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bucks | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.67 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 21c | 3,842$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.5 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 21c | 3,837$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Celtics | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Celtics | 37c | 3,419$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.46 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Celtics | 43c | 3,284$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Bucks | 15c | 3,267$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.87 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Celtics | 78c | 3,212$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Celtics | 18c | 3,176$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.18 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 34c | 3,107$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.33 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Bucks | 22c | 3,090$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.56 | 226 | 37.2%84 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…adcdbacked Celtics | 79c | 3,027$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Bucks | 23c | 3,013$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.18 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Celtics | 30c | 3,007$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bucks | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b76…adb3backed Bucks | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Bucks | 21c | 3,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…1e8bbacked Celtics | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7e…202bbacked Bucks | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 30cpaid | +173.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bucks | 26c | 2,775$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.59 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Bucks | 23c | 2,749$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Bucks | 59c | 2,746$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.06 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 75c | 2,562$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Bucks | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Bucks | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bucks | 17c | 2,459$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.75 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…f234backed Bucks | 23c | 2,400$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Celtics | 79c | 2,285$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.15 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Celtics | 1c | 2,257$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Bucks | 32c | 2,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Celtics | 78c | 2,165$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.82 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Celtics | 77c | 2,152$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.84 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Celtics | 61c | 2,148$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.62 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Celtics | 68c | 2,100$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ad…9577backed Celtics | 78c | 2,066$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae3e…a5f4backed Celtics | 79c | 2,035$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.72 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b45…41e3backed Bucks | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Celtics | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 21c | 2,000$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.78 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Celtics | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks | 46c | 1,997$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.73 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…f773backed Bucks | 24c | 1,895$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.03 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +57%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Celtics | 79c | 1,807$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.3 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Bucks | 15c | 1,758$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.7 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -16.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 1c | 1,656$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Bucks | 18c | 1,650$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.22 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Celtics | 79c | 1,646$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,610$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.15 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bucks | 24c | 1,544$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.11 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,538$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.92 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Bucks | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…8a09backed Bucks | 14c | 1,416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.43 | 219 | 23.7%52 W · 167 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Celtics | 79c | 1,392$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.67 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Bucks | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…66a1backed Bucks | 58c | 1,361$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Celtics | 78c | 1,315$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…4d73backed Bucks | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +129.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…4e14backed Bucks | 22c | 1,300$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…d077backed Bucks | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 35cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucksthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.