NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b6e272225c3b271cfa2d8841d4b92df57d83ad3c7a0c36dc0528703c601f43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Celtics, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bucks | 49c | 185,145$91,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,566.97 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Celtics | 51c | 93,014$47,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,213.61 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Celtics | 52c | 65,326$33,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,762.67 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Celtics | 50c | 62,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 48c | 26,859$12,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,099.69 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Celtics | 51c | 14,616$7,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,454 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…1f23backed Bucks | 51c | 13,725$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 50c | 10,062$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.36 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Celtics | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c9…1a9dbacked Celtics | 54c | 9,810$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bucks | 50c | 9,400$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bucks | 49c | 8,083$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.23 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Bucks | 49c | 6,730$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.3 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 50c | 6,495$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.5 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Celtics | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 48c | 5,100$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,671.38 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 48c | 4,554$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.13 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Bucks | 49c | 3,728$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.5 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Bucks | 52c | 3,115$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.38 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Celtics | 50c | 2,588$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bucks | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Bucks | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bucks | 48c | 1,519$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.87 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Bucks | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 49c | 1,180$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.5 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics | 43c | 1,087$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Bucks | 53c | 981.13$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.13 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Celtics | 47c | 859.72$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.07 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Bucks | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Celtics | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Celtics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bucks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Bucks | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833e…f756backed Bucks | 54c | 374.87$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Bucks | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…6ea7backed Bucks | 51c | 312.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Bucks | 53c | 282$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Bucks | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 52c | 249.82$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.33 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 50c | 237$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Bucks | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Bucks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Bucks | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Celtics | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d9b8backed Celtics | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Bucks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Bucks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Bucks | 51c | 199.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Celtics | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…94afbacked Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Bucks | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 24c | 117.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks | 50c | 102.46$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Bucks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Bucks | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…6a30backed Bucks | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Celtics | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…fcf3backed Bucks | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Celtics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 310 | 55.5%172 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Celtics | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Bucks | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Celtics | 48c | 71.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 203 | 56.7%115 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Celtics | 48c | 60.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Bucks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 50c | 52.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…8462backed Bucks | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…79dabacked Celtics | 52c | 46.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…7b81backed Bucks | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Celtics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f0…5eb5backed Celtics | 51c | 36.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Celtics | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 659 | 50.8%335 W · 324 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Bucks | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Bucks | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Celtics | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 27.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Bucks | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Celtics | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Celtics | 58c | 24.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0f…5fadbacked Bucks | 49c | 20.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Bucks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. BucksBucks won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.