NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac6ba8238ee7f3f18f1e9c3132aa2c2bb7585f568ff0d38c0ce91f6f2bb6b18e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 53c | 13,459$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…7f16backed Under | 49c | 9,602$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…8863backed Under | 49c | 5,918$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Over | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…1d5bbacked Under | 49c | 5,435$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8f…fa57backed Under | 49c | 2,042$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd0…f83dbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 2,017$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.9 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,955$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 51c | 1,932$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.13 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 52c | 1,466$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.17 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…498abacked Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 795.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 416.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 49c | 394.12$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6836…f2cdbacked Over | 52c | 360$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 53c | 344$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 44c | 267.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…0001backed Over | 68c | 257.14$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce9…ced7backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…dd2cbacked Over | 53c | 238.68$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 220$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 216.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Over | 43c | 145.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 104.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 53c | 92.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Over | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…14b4backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 25c | 66.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 45c | 61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…8056backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Over | 76c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 56c | 45.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…b99abacked Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e96…8e0fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 31.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 53c | 28.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabe…ff32backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 40c | 27.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dac…a46bbacked Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9c…aaf9backed Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 68cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…8211backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. BucksBucks won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 223.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.