TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b5d…b99a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT5657.1%32 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$12.3
Cavaliers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.9
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Jazz vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Clippers vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.04
Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$44.7
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.1
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$26.2
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.1%+$11.2
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.25
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.3
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.05
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.44
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Manchester City FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Manchester City vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.3
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)backed Aston Villa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.08
Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+44.9%+$6.11
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+26.6%+$7.97
Will Leeds United win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dynamite be the first song performed by BTS at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$13.51
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23.15
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.12
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+223.6%+$67.97
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+25.8%+$27.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: 49ers (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$13.85
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+30.1%+$11.01
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.5
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+49.3%+$5.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.