TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,071

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c30,312$14,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,389.636,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Over48c20,142$9,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,473.662556%14 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc478…d2e2backed Over50c4,834$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4374348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Under50c4,213$2,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,106.698940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Under51c4,109$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,076.1215049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0009946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.52634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c3,237$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.0315757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under52c2,922$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,518.8717544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0323…77e4backed Under48c2,637$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1828…cca5backed Over52c2,637$1,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Over50c2,049$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.314050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.9745936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c1,721$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.451,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Over50c1,628$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8141952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a4…ea47backed Over49c1,613$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over49c1,218$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.212639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Over79c1,190$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7719729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb22…ce57backed Over50c1,060$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over30c1,018$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.682,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54010636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over50c986.26$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.133933.3%13 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under52c905.87$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.729846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Over77c825.44$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.733167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over50c640$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3206654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0832…4130backed Under51c630$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd6…25c5backed Over50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c28…f8c7backed Over50c610$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b82…c13dbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over49c570.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.242048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2709244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under29c415.3$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.1112020.8%25 W · 95 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over50c412$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20615347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20817748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Under51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under52c316.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.441,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over50c284.76$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.389037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over35c270$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.57737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over51c262.63$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.837036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over50c260$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13015263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12512753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Over50c248$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242540%10 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Under35c241.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over50c240$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.217955.3%99 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11519826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under46c213.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9420150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under52c205.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10710343.7%45 W · 58 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.046642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c203.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9813760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9423741.8%99 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d3…432abacked Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987866.7%52 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011736.8%43 W · 74 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over49c189.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7314252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under49c187.08$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.671,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over53c186.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7923435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Over50c184$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211839%46 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fe…e803backed Over50c178.82$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4718059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over45c139.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.994042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x467b…82c3backed Under26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Under24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Over48c120$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.45347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab9…1437backed Over50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603060%18 W · 12 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+34.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over52c118.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9140…4d82backed Under52c111.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.250%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce7b…c780backed Under58c102.76$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.049958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112623%29 W · 97 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5010031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33b…ad69backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf619…5228backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9dbe…b1b1backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4812250%61 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Under21c99.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under24c95.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Over50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Under51c83$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.334047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under44c81.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.925949.4%128 W · 131 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016236.4%59 W · 103 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f1…2c1cbacked Over45c70.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over77c66.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.357659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Over32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5470…f84ebacked Over53c62.26$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Under50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2214045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over49c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1136956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433a…e3d9backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306566.2%43 W · 22 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a49…f879backed Over44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821275%9 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cf…bdf6backed Over50c56.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2748backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+73.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.