Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a8175c40018787ea498d9f060a5e6fbb81a951d4e21b7eb45d9880b52ffe55e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.93 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 4,053$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276.17 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 52c | 1,528$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.54 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 41c | 1,232$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.33 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 45c | 1,230$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.51 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes | 47c | 908.83$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.68 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 678.22$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.13 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 47c | 587$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 578$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.55 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 45c | 546$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed Yes | 46c | 545.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf6…9767backed Yes | 46c | 433.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Yes | 45c | 402.14$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…b9f3backed Yes | 50c | 341.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 53c | 339.55$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 54c | 331.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 46c | 329.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…de6dbacked Yes | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf45…c508backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked No | 52c | 268.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 45c | 243.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed No | 71c | 200.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577b…ad6abacked Yes | 48c | 200.01$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…38ffbacked Yes | 47c | 184.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 34c | 176.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ad…b1bbbacked Yes | 48c | 175.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 51c | 169.72$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2b…4545backed Yes | 45c | 147.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 54c | 133.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216a…9380backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No | 54c | 100.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7e…cfe3backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 87.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdc…6d51backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 22c | 75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…55a7backed No | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked No | 68c | 70.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 44c | 70.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 55c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…29dfbacked Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed Yes | 47c | 65.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 45c | 60.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.34 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…6f52backed Yes | 47c | 56.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…2ca4backed Yes | 45c | 50.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…bb79backed Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…e214backed Yes | 46c | 47.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 58c | 47.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c81…eda9backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…10ecbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8f…05a1backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…ced6backed Yes | 45c | 36.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 60c | 32.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Yes | 47c | 29.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 45c | 25.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…ed6ebacked Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal vs. Tottenham: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Arsenal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.