TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc22c…bfc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST2025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$21.26
Will Sweden vs. Slovenia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+270.7%+$36.59
Will Wales vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Korea Republic vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$14.51
Will Netherlands vs. Lithuania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$63.81
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+669.2%+$305.17
Will Montenegro vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Italy vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$97.4
Will Italy win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Moldova win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+117.7%+$308.95
Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.3
Will Azerbaijan vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$102.1
Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+1,816.3%+$1,743.64
Will Georgia vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Groningen vs. NAC Breda end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will AZ win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+177.8%+$71.11
Will SC Heerenveen vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$29.6
Will AZ win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
SC Heerenveen vs. AZ: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Volendam vs. FC Twente '65 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Will PSV win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will NAC Breda vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+321.7%+$534
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$167.44
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Norwich City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Hull City AFC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+226.6%+$22.66
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Burnley FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$116.6
Will Tottenham win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.4
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+614.3%+$258
Will Leeds United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 December 8-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 December 1-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$71.78
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$68
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$55.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+771.2%+$308.48
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+110.7%+$198.64
Will Ethereum dip to $2,900 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$93.88
Will Solana dip to $140 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 November 3-9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$213.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST130%0 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$49.97
Next US strike on Syria on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$23.48
Next US strike on Syria on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14.78
Next US strike on Syria on December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15.2
US strike on Syria by December 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$286.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+198.7%+$688.28
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$42.38
Grok 4.20 released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$197.07
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$266.26
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$152.47
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+71.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+334.8%+$77
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Girona vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+426.3%+$85.26
Will Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60.93
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+300%+$60
Celta Vigo vs. Espanyol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elche CF vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+426.3%+$170.53
Will Elche CF win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-81.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.5%+$24.45
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$991Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$990.65
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$332.48
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$878.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$497.69
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$884.18
Will "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$48.85
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$43.74
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$436.63
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 137m and 150m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$212.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$238.99
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $200-$205 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$37.35
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+378.6%+$197.77
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+682.3%+$839.68
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+42.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+94%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-63.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+590.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$51.08
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+1,011.1%+$121.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+426.3%+$85.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$134.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$27.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.