NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa678a87662f09113122bbc93843e6f95ddd51d5896f9e585c9e967081433e649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,048,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,157,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,048,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Grizzlies | 52c | 355,281$185,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,280.76 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mavericks | 49c | 154,249$75,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,807.57 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Mavericks | 50c | 120,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Grizzlies | 50c | 120,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,000 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 50c | 103,977$52,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,080.02 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 96,647$48,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,938.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Grizzlies | 55c | 64,418$35,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,016.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Grizzlies | 49c | 55,742$27,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,276.24 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 49,239$23,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,945.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 50c | 48,923$24,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,536.65 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Mavericks | 55c | 45,418$24,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,979.96 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Grizzlies | 50c | 39,500$19,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,555 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Grizzlies | 50c | 39,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Mavericks | 16c | 35,000$5,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.5 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Grizzlies | 50c | 32,516$16,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,157.78 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 32,507$15,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,177.47 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 31,778$16,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,421.11 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Grizzlies | 71c | 25,992$18,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,563.12 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Grizzlies | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Mavericks | 62c | 20,443$12,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,776.12 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…740bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 20,400$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mavericks | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 20,000$9,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,510 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Mavericks | 50c | 20,000$9,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,991.35 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…9498backed Grizzlies | 49c | 19,865$9,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,136.58 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks | 52c | 19,215$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Mavericks | 50c | 17,574$8,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,787 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mavericks | 46c | 16,805$7,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,705.16 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 39c | 16,608$6,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,518.21 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 16,235$8,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,722.35 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Mavericks | 45c | 16,007$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Grizzlies | 50c | 15,555$7,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.5 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Grizzlies | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 14,623$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,124.91 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Mavericks | 49c | 13,848$6,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,757.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 12,678$6,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,338.82 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…6f51backed Mavericks | 54c | 12,500$6,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Grizzlies | 43c | 11,500$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.99 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 52c | 11,382$5,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,415.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 10,818$5,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,322.9 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 48c | 10,725$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.34 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 37c | 10,361$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.65 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies | 53c | 10,354$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.5 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 9,939$5,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,377.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 9,658$5,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,118.49 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 8,750$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,677$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b7…6a84backed Grizzlies | 46c | 8,446$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,527.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mavericks | 49c | 8,343$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.88 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.94 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 7,587$3,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,793.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Mavericks | 45c | 7,178$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.06 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies | 48c | 7,146$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.82 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Mavericks | 51c | 7,144$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.01 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…ad9abacked Mavericks | 54c | 7,074$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…0e1cbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 7,069$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,817.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…f94cbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,997$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.6 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 43c | 6,582$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.06 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks | 54c | 6,426$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.84 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…15ddbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,346$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222c…4ab2backed Mavericks | 50c | 6,202$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.81 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,702$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 57c | 5,519$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.49 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…7e6bbacked Mavericks | 35c | 5,323$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…82f7backed Grizzlies | 50c | 5,020$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +130%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,669$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.13 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 4,508$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.09 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Mavericks | 52c | 4,364$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.09 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Mavericks | 51c | 4,048$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.46 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…1d8abacked Grizzlies | 49c | 4,038$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks | 60c | 4,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,918$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.65 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Grizzlies | 55c | 3,664$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.98 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8831…2b4bbacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,602$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 49c | 3,507$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.2 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3479…db82backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…733ebacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Mavericks | 59c | 3,400$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2900…af64backed Mavericks | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfc…78cdbacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae6…4da5backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,157$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.41 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,148$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.28 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 3,107$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.42 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Mavericks | 42c | 3,069$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…77d3backed Grizzlies | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…8effbacked Mavericks | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 45c | 2,928$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.07 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Grizzlies | 58c | 2,924$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.57 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Mavericks | 52c | 2,901$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.02 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4701…7954backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,900$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,594$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.65 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericksthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 224.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.