Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9553f5d940ba4187c451ce27659da1919001caa62a766cf17fb8378378def2c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,020,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,926,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,020,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 46c | 73,496$33,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,607.67 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 24c | 64,891$15,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,776.01 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 15c | 47,500$6,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.18 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 59c | 46,264$27,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,945.69 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Yes | 22c | 44,188$9,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,533.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c6b4backed Yes | 2c | 32,240$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.39 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 20c | 29,537$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.6 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 8c | 29,315$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.06 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 4c | 29,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +163.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 36c | 26,139$9,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,325.62 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b6…80b9backed No | 67c | 23,556$15,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,845.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741f…36d1backed Yes | 0c | 20,914$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…797fbacked Yes | 51c | 19,742$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 1c | 16,602$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.26 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,199$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…4012backed Yes | 19c | 15,116$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 2c | 13,000$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…62e0backed Yes | 15c | 13,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf2…15bbbacked Yes | 10c | 12,397$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 45c | 10,801$4,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.52 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…cc11backed Yes | 10c | 10,185$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…09dabacked Yes | 18c | 9,999$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.84 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 29cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 76c | 9,544$7,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.19 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed Yes | 13c | 9,496$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.38 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…b1f6backed Yes | 3c | 9,357$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 4c | 9,006$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Yes | 2c | 8,999$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…ea4ebacked Yes | 36c | 8,345$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.66 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…abcdbacked No | 39c | 7,700$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a2…9508backed Yes | 2c | 7,500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 0c | 7,035$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d30…b2b3backed Yes | 40c | 7,000$2,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 34c | 6,899$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.71 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bd…f6a8backed Yes | 18c | 6,789$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Yes | 25c | 6,681$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c4…a051backed Yes | 14c | 6,071$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb0…afcebacked Yes | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…9d87backed Yes | 22c | 5,574$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes | 4c | 5,535$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.13 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 34c | 5,519$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.58 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 22c | 5,209$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.28 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed No | 79c | 5,000$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 16c | 4,800$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.49 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…970cbacked Yes | 18c | 4,630$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.58 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…6b4fbacked No | 44c | 4,577$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…7251backed Yes | 5c | 4,487$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fa…0fbcbacked Yes | 18c | 4,379$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 16c | 3,884$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 28c | 3,799$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.43 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,780$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.09 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,704$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af7…2c4bbacked No | 74c | 3,694$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…5dbdbacked Yes | 2c | 3,671$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aed…46fabacked Yes | 28c | 3,547$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.36 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 1c | 3,463$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,400$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…903fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,364$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…fca5backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 5c | 3,167$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.71 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 13c | 3,085$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…de9ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,059$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…a499backed Yes | 57c | 3,001$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…63acbacked Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 30c | 3,000$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395b…a984backed Yes | 21c | 2,920$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 5c | 2,900$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +22.9wins | +0.22per pick | 24cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 75c | 2,889$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.76 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 17c | 2,861$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.17 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…8742backed Yes | 19c | 2,843$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Yes | 18c | 2,827$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.86 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…f9cabacked Yes | 11c | 2,801$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Yes | 15c | 2,800$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x124b…50afbacked No | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9afb…5d5bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,692$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…bed5backed Yes | 8c | 2,638$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…df43backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked No | 41c | 2,600$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.75 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,561$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 56c | 2,458$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.62 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ae5fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,446$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…ba87backed No | 77c | 2,400$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,397$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…b7e4backed Yes | 59c | 2,328$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed Yes | 1c | 2,110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe4…69fbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,042$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 80c | 1,998$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.4 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…f826backed Yes | 74c | 1,975$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…5941backed No | 59c | 1,963$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa366…54efbacked No | 64c | 1,948$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.05 | 157 | 54.8%86 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…a461backed Yes | 20c | 1,917$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…21dcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,852$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc11…4393backed No | 73c | 1,842$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…9093backed No | 70c | 1,800$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf902…df82backed No | 70c | 1,800$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.