Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1ef472b7d39c8a8d3f2a3f61a76ff8e06feb060b237e8ff15124fff45ba77f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $468,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $468,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 1c | 24,637$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.14 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 23,607$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 18,784$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fe…b52dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,911$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 4c | 11,902$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 8c | 11,375$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.49 | 183 | 15.3%28 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 8c | 10,839$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.07 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc66…83e1backed Yes | 13c | 7,731$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,249$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de3…45b1backed Yes | 8c | 5,720$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 23c | 5,361$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.56 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…d3e9backed Yes | 0c | 4,464$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1e…04c0backed Yes | 0c | 4,126$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ec…4900backed Yes | 7c | 4,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Yes | 4c | 3,690$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…524cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,653$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.44 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 10c | 3,507$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.62 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 13c | 3,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,521$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 3c | 2,444$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…fc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,327$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 4c | 2,274$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 2,171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 2c | 2,148$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 54 | 11.1%6 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…98f7backed Yes | 9c | 2,111$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…d2ccbacked Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d2…05a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,597$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,587$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b0d1backed Yes | 16c | 1,549$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.81 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f4…43d8backed Yes | 7c | 1,437$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…7adcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,346$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2b…b404backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e6…c6e5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3a…e1b6backed Yes | 4c | 1,240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4705…3988backed Yes | 8c | 1,189$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…ee22backed Yes | 3c | 1,174$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…a7abbacked Yes | 14c | 1,110$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…0df8backed Yes | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a3…6bd4backed Yes | 12c | 1,024$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd30f…7da2backed Yes | 2c | 1,020$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1c…ad56backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…9d2bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…b377backed Yes | 12c | 960.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…6fc8backed Yes | 8c | 927.88$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…01ffbacked Yes | 11c | 899.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…7856backed Yes | 13c | 893.36$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…360bbacked Yes | 7c | 884.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 116 | 5.2%6 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…766bbacked Yes | 8c | 880.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +269.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…1aa6backed Yes | 7c | 849.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…00d5backed Yes | 3c | 810$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…a199backed Yes | 25c | 790$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 9c | 758.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…2327backed Yes | 14c | 639$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…fbc8backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa779…e265backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 30c | 621.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.32 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 7c | 615.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…46d6backed No | 80c | 569$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d19…4513backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 24c | 550$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…0951backed Yes | 6c | 541.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 16cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…4e6cbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…be7cbacked Yes | 5c | 499.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked No | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3a…6e70backed Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…f622backed Yes | 30c | 459.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d0…438dbacked Yes | 17c | 451.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 305 | 31.1%95 W · 210 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c03…6e0abacked Yes | 8c | 414$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yes | 33c | 393.58$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 7c | 368$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7d…8407backed Yes | 3c | 361.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…8d91backed Yes | 6c | 358.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 6c | 327.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97be…136bbacked Yes | 34c | 322.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0196…d9f9backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2a…aab2backed No | 67c | 296.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…2aa7backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…c255backed No | 77c | 280$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc555…38e7backed Yes | 22c | 267.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…ff11backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43c0…6f57backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…92f9backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 67c | 238.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…345cbacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…52d3backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…b0e9backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…d3aabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…8870backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…72e0backed Yes | 14c | 180.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 14c | 170.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…b9a7backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in November?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,200 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,400 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,600 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $3,800 in November?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,200 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,400 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.